Polymarket Trader

0x4DE1670Ab9513c2bb53eA041c62bAaD828e86F7b-1781543672745

0x4de1670ab9513c2bb53ea041c62baad828e86f7b

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $386
Realized PnL: $0
Win rate: Unavailable
Open positions: 19
Closed positions: 0
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $127.11
Potential payout: $127.36
Potential profit: $0.25
User PnL: $51.79

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 43%
Current value: $43.27
Potential payout: $100.62
Potential profit: $57.36
Multiplier: 2.33x
User PnL: $1.58

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $87.64
Potential payout: $87.99
Potential profit: $0.35
User PnL: $45.18

No position

Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.16
Potential payout: $80.93
Potential profit: $80.77
Multiplier: 500.00x
User PnL: -$27.31

No position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.26
Potential payout: $66
Potential profit: $65.74
Multiplier: 250.00x
User PnL: -$32.08

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $44
Potential profit: $44
User PnL: -$0.88

No position

Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $43.96
Potential payout: $44
Potential profit: $0.04
User PnL: $23.28

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 43%
Current value: $18.92
Potential payout: $44
Potential profit: $25.08
Multiplier: 2.33x
User PnL: $1.32

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 23.5%
Current value: $6.87
Potential payout: $29.22
Potential profit: $22.35
Multiplier: 4.26x
User PnL: $2.57

No position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 71%
Current value: $19.88
Potential payout: $28
Potential profit: $8.12
Multiplier: 1.41x
User PnL: -$2.08

No position

Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 76.5%
Current value: $20.66
Potential payout: $27
Potential profit: $6.34
Multiplier: 1.31x
User PnL: -$1.16

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 3.8%
Current value: $0.84
Potential payout: $22
Potential profit: $21.16
Multiplier: 26.32x
User PnL: -$2.02

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 5.4%
Current value: $1.19
Potential payout: $22
Potential profit: $20.81
Multiplier: 18.52x
User PnL: -$1.23

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.04
Potential payout: $22
Potential profit: $21.96
Multiplier: 500.00x
User PnL: -$2.38

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 57%
Current value: $12.54
Potential payout: $22
Potential profit: $9.46
Multiplier: 1.75x
User PnL: -$0.44

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.02
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.98
Multiplier: 1000.00x
User PnL: -$10.18

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.4%
Current value: $1.09
Potential payout: $5.95
Potential profit: $4.86
Multiplier: 5.45x
User PnL: $0.09

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 29%
Current value: $1.45
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $3.55
Multiplier: 3.45x
User PnL: $0.2

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in London be 20°C on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 5.3%
Current value: $0.12
Potential payout: $2.3
Potential profit: $2.18
Multiplier: 18.87x
User PnL: -$0.18

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No closed positions returned for this trader.

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 16.8% 5.95 shares