17accountant

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $44.96
Potential payout: $45
Potential profit: $0.05
User PnL: $6.44

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on July 2?

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $0.17
Potential payout: $36.72
Potential profit: $36.56
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$1.12

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on July 2?

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $33.96
Potential payout: $33.99
Potential profit: $0.03
User PnL: $6.6

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on July 2?

Implied probability: 97.9%
Current value: $31.31
Potential payout: $32
Potential profit: $0.69
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $1.83

No position

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on July 3?

Implied probability: 81.7%
Current value: $24.52
Potential payout: $30.01
Potential profit: $5.49
Multiplier: 1.22x
User PnL: $0.02

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 95%
Current value: $28.5
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $1.5
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $0.07

No position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 35°C on July 2?

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $29.99
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $0.02
User PnL: $1.41

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on July 3?

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $29.93
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $0.07
User PnL: $1.3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 98-99°F on July 2?

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $29.88
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $0.12
User PnL: $0.6

No position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C or higher on July 2?

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $26.13
Potential payout: $26.19
Potential profit: $0.05
User PnL: $1.93

No position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on July 3?

Implied probability: 99.1%
Current value: $24.78
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $0.23
User PnL: $0.54

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 94-95°F on July 3?

Implied probability: 3.1%
Current value: $0.76
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $24.24
Multiplier: 32.79x
User PnL: $0.09

No position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on July 2?

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $24.99
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $13.17

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on July 2?

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $23.74
Potential payout: $23.76
Potential profit: $0.02
User PnL: $0.26

No position

Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on July 3?

Implied probability: 96.8%
Current value: $22.14
Potential payout: $22.87
Potential profit: $0.73
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $1.23

No position

Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 94%
Current value: $18.8
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $1.2
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $1.94

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on July 2?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $18.32
Potential profit: $18.31
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$4.69

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 96-97°F on July 2?

Implied probability: 1.5%
Current value: $0.25
Potential payout: $16.39
Potential profit: $16.15
Multiplier: 66.67x
User PnL: -$0.45

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C or below on July 3?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $14.99
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.36

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on July 3?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $14.99
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.36

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 3?

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.06
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $14.94
Multiplier: 250.00x
User PnL: -$1.3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on July 2?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.02
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $14.99
Multiplier: 1000.00x
User PnL: -$0.9

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 35°C on July 2?

Implied probability: 3.9%
Current value: $0.58
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $14.42
Multiplier: 25.97x
User PnL: -$0.08

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on April 6?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $221.34

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on April 8?

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $162.83

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 6?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $138.67

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on April 6?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $125.43

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on April 5?

Ends Apr 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $124.26

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be 67°F or below on April 5?

Ends Apr 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $121.7

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on April 9?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $113.49

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on April 6?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $112.56

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on April 4?

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $110.75

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on April 9?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $109.34

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $107.41

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on April 4?

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $104.96

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on April 9?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $104.25

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 13°C on March 22?

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $100.01

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on April 8?

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $99.76

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 70-71°F on April 9?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $98.17

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C or higher on April 4?

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $96.82

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on April 6?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $94.33

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on April 8?

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $91.95

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 48-49°F on April 9?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $91.24

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 72-73°F on April 6?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $89.18

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 54-55°F on April 6?