Polymarket Trader

0xc2933273eE77a546E0341322D30011a875cf1a18-1773319262700

0x4def6cc1f33abba666601a916380e1560c02b34f

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $179.16
Realized PnL: -$56.1
Win rate: 38.9%
Open positions: 21
Closed positions: 18
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.15K
Potential profit: $2.15K
User PnL: -$7

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$40

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $497.22
Potential profit: $497.22
User PnL: -$30.5

Down position

Solana Up or Down - June 19, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $336.09
Potential profit: $336.09
User PnL: -$3.36

Yes position

Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 20.5%
Current value: $49.14
Potential payout: $239.7
Potential profit: $190.56
Multiplier: 4.88x
User PnL: $1.2

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $166.67
Potential profit: $166.67
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$10

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $47.62
Potential profit: $47.62
User PnL: -$3

No position

Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $35.71
Potential profit: $35.71
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 16.5%
Current value: $5.5
Potential payout: $33.33
Potential profit: $27.83
Multiplier: 6.06x
User PnL: $0.5

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 69%
Current value: $22.52
Potential payout: $32.64
Potential profit: $10.12
Multiplier: 1.45x
User PnL: -$1.64

No position

Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $14.43
Potential payout: $14.43
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $3.32

No position

Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 83%
Current value: $11.67
Potential payout: $14.06
Potential profit: $2.39
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $0.56

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $13.61
Potential payout: $13.7
Potential profit: $0.09
User PnL: $3.61

No position

Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $11.68
Potential payout: $12.77
Potential profit: $1.09
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $0.57

No position

Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $11.17
Potential payout: $12.34
Potential profit: $1.17
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $0.06

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.98
Potential profit: $11.98
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 22, 2026?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $11.76
Potential payout: $11.76
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $1.76

No position

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 98.8%
Current value: $11.35
Potential payout: $11.49
Potential profit: $0.14
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $1.35

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $10.87
Potential payout: $10.87
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.87

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 78.5%
Current value: $5.45
Potential payout: $6.94
Potential profit: $1.49
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: $0.45

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $58.63

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.75

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.41

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $15.8

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.46

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.81

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.47

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.8%
Multiplier: 5.33x
User PnL: -$1.46

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$6

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$20

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$25

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$25

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$50

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$62.97

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET

Up 3% 36.67 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET

Up 3% 33.33 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET

Up 9% 10.03 shares
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Yes 15% 33.33 shares
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?

No 77% 14.43 shares
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?

No 10% 100 shares
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 4.2% 733.75 shares
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?

Yes 20% 239.7 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET

Down 6% 16.67 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET

Down 6% 16.67 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET

Down 7% 14.29 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET

Down 1% 100 shares