No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $143.68
- Potential profit
- $143.68
- User PnL
- -$125
Polymarket Trader
awp5i
0x4df38f15d6ec4915121abeee50914fbe6e02b9ca
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $129.53
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $71.43
- Potential profit
- $71.43
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $26.39
- Potential profit
- $26.39
- User PnL
- -$19
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $22.62
- Potential profit
- $22.62
- User PnL
- -$19
No position
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $18.84
- Potential profit
- $18.84
- User PnL
- -$13
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.66
Yes position
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.51
No position
US x Iran meeting by February 13, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.82
No position
Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.42
Yes position
Over $5M committed to the Infinex public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.86
Yes position
Will the Reserve Bank of Australia increase the target for the cash rate after the February Meeting?
Ends Feb 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.58
Yes position
Will the Indian National Congress (INC) win the most seats in the 2026 Kerala Legislative Assembly election?
Ends Apr 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.87
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.64
Yes position
Military action against Iran continues through March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.91
No position
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.89
Yes position
Over $10M committed to the Gensyn public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.41
No position
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by March 16?
Ends Mar 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.2
No position
Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3
Yes position
Will David Farley win the by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives?
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.97
Yes position
Will Our Homeland Movement (Mi Hazánk) win at least one seat in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.72
No position
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.59
No position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.37
No position
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?
Ends Dec 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.23
No position
GPT-5.6 released by June 5, 2026?
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.86
Yes position
Will Fuerza Popular (FP) win the most seats in the 2026 Peruvian Chamber of Deputies election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.73
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.55
Yes position
Will there be between 10 and 13 US strikes on Somalia in February 2026?
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.48
No position
Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 93.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $1.15
Yes position
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.11
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 87% 143.68 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by June 5, 2026?No 97.3% 12.18 shares
- Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes 84.1% 91.26 shares
- Will SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in June 2026 (ET)?Yes 93.4% 83.15 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by June 5, 2026?No 82% 12.18 shares
- Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes 67% 14.4 shares
- Will SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in June 2026 (ET)?Yes 95% 83.16 shares
- Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No 86.1% 23.79 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes 97.8% 55.86 shares
- Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?No 69% 18.84 shares
- Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by May 31, 2026?No 66.9% 22.42 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes 89.5% 55.87 shares