Polymarket Trader

thinkass

0x4df8198b6f8e97c9d3a7efcc092ad8877f2d6274

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $5.85K
Realized PnL: -$1.46K
Win rate: 60%
Open positions: 2
Closed positions: 20
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 33.4%
Current value: $5.85K
Potential payout: $17.54K
Potential profit: $11.69K
Multiplier: 3.00x
User PnL: $2.85K

Under position

Czechia vs. South Africa: O/U 1.5

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $227.27
Potential profit: $227.27
User PnL: -$100

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $665.03

Over position

Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $368.49

Yes position

Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $219.3

Over position

Austria vs. Jordan: O/U 1.5

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $209.85

Yes position

Will Czechia vs. South Africa end in a draw?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $83.7

Yes position

Will Netherlands vs. Morocco end in a draw?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $74.14

Under position

Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 4.5

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.92

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.21

Yes position

EdgeX FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.1

Yes position

Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.25

Yes position

Seeker FDV above $50M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.76

T1 position

LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 (BO5)

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.45

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-06-16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.33

Yes position

Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?

Ends Nov 15, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.75

Over position

Norway vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$147.17

Over position

Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 3.5

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$150

Yes position

Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$566.91

Yes position

Stable FDV above $2B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$733.64

Yes position

Will Brazil vs. Japan end in a draw?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.57K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway end in a draw? AND Will England win on 2026-07-01? AND Will France win on 2026-06-30?

44.4% 443.38 shares
Will Netherlands vs. Morocco end in a draw?

Yes 99.9% 574.71 shares
Will Netherlands vs. Morocco end in a draw?

Yes 87% 574.71 shares
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?

Yes 97% 120.87 shares
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?

Yes 91% 120.88 shares
Will Brazil vs. Japan end in a draw?

Yes 4.1% 2,070.74 shares
Will Brazil vs. Japan end in a draw?

Yes 83.7% 1,731.77 shares
Will Brazil vs. Japan end in a draw?

Yes 59% 338.98 shares
Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 1.5 AND Will Brazil vs. Japan end in a draw?

58.3% 423.79 shares
Norway vs. France: O/U 1.5 AND Uruguay vs. Spain: O/U 1.5 AND Will Senegal win on 2026-06-26?

49.7% 198.21 shares
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? AND Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? AND Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-25?

30.6% 97.97 shares
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? AND Will Australia win on 2026-06-25? AND Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? AND Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-25?

5.8% 395.52 shares