Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $310
- Potential profit
- $310
- User PnL
- -$29.9
Polymarket Trader
adolfnigler
0x4df8370da3e8a0c71f4ea23ea75aa5ad1a2293a6
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $90.25
- Realized PnL
- $41.55
- Win rate
- 80%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 5
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $300
- User PnL
- -$24
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $240
- Potential profit
- $240
- User PnL
- -$36
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 47.5%
- Current value
- $90.25
- Potential payout
- $190
- Potential profit
- $99.75
- Multiplier
- 2.11x
- User PnL
- -$30.55
Yes position
Will Google (GOOGL) hit $335 before 2026??
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $138.36
- Potential profit
- $138.36
- User PnL
- -$100
No position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $95.58
- Potential profit
- $95.58
- User PnL
- -$8.6
No position
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$8
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.9
No position
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of February?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.56
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.76
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.33
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$5
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes 40% 50 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes 72% 140 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Yes 34% 200 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Yes 33% 3.43 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in February?No 98.3% 130 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in February?No 95% 130 shares
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of February?No 97.8% 120 shares
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of February?No 84% 120 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?Yes 15% 240 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in January?No 99.4% 100 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in January?No 82% 50 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?Yes 9% 270 shares