Polymarket Trader

0x8e83eae185479c31Fe1c6ab9BA4E47A6c4553BD6-1770693441349

0x4dfc7d14f31d6c513eb65977f1543fd7c3722797

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $235.97
Realized PnL: $318.81
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 19
Closed positions: 20
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Argentina reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 62.5%
Current value: $72.92
Potential payout: $116.67
Potential profit: $43.75
Multiplier: 1.60x
User PnL: $2.92

Conor McGregor position

UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 33.5%
Current value: $34.49
Potential payout: $102.94
Potential profit: $68.46
Multiplier: 2.99x
User PnL: -$0.51

Yes position

Will France reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 78.5%
Current value: $79.09
Potential payout: $100.75
Potential profit: $21.66
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: $19.26

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 35.8%
Current value: $24.97
Potential payout: $69.83
Potential profit: $44.87
Multiplier: 2.80x
User PnL: -$0.03

Yes position

Will Spain vs. Austria end in a draw?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $55.56
Potential profit: $55.56
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $42.55
Potential profit: $42.55
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40.54
Potential profit: $40.54
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $40
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Paraguay vs. France end in a draw?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $37.5
Potential profit: $37.5
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Croatia win on 2026-07-02?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $37.04
Potential profit: $37.04
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Morocco win on 2026-06-29?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $34.48
Potential profit: $34.48
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Canada vs. Morocco end in a draw?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $31.82
Potential profit: $31.82
User PnL: -$7

Yes position

Will England reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 53.5%
Current value: $16.98
Potential payout: $31.75
Potential profit: $14.76
Multiplier: 1.87x
User PnL: -$3.02

Yes position

Will Egypt win on 2026-06-26?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $27.03
Potential profit: $27.03
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20.6
Potential profit: $20.6
User PnL: -$13

Yes position

Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20.45
Potential profit: $20.45
User PnL: -$9

No position

Will Trump say "Hottest" during Tribute to America Rally?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 75.2%
Current value: $7.52
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $2.48
Multiplier: 1.33x
User PnL: $5.52

No position

Will Trump say "Moon" during Tribute to America Rally?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.9
Potential profit: $6.9
User PnL: -$2

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will England win on 2026-07-01?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.62

Yes position

Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.28

Cabo Verde position

Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $25.21

Yes position

Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.48

Yes position

Will Belgium vs. Senegal end in a draw?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.26

Yes position

Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.72

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-06-26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.82

Yes position

Will Australia vs. Egypt end in a draw?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.38

Yes position

Switzerland to score first vs. Algeria?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.21

Yes position

Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.07

Yes position

Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.85

Yes position

Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $12.8

Yes position

Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.73

Yes position

Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.42

Yes position

Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.86

Egypt position

Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.86

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-06-30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.56

Yes position

Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.43

Yes position

Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $8.75

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-07-04?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.51

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Trump say "Moon" during Tribute to America Rally?

No 29% 6.9 shares
Will Trump say "Hottest" during Tribute to America Rally?

No 20% 10 shares
Will Paraguay vs. France end in a draw?

Yes 8% 37.5 shares
Will France win on 2026-07-04?

Yes 92% 72.28 shares
Will France win on 2026-07-04?

Yes 83% 72.29 shares
Will Canada vs. Morocco end in a draw?

Yes 22% 31.82 shares
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?

Yes 74% 51.92 shares
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?

Yes 52% 51.92 shares
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?

Yes 69% 30.43 shares
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advance

Cabo Verde 29% 104.16 shares
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advance

Cabo Verde 4.8% 104.17 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 35.8% 69.83 shares