No position
Will Elon tweet 215–229 times August 8–August 15?
Ends Aug 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.97
Polymarket Trader
Aria518
0x4e02b6432a33686fd47c841974210aa530f3f5ec
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $4.16
- Win rate
- 58.3%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Latest Resolved Positions
No open position details returned
This trader has an open-position count, but open position cards are not available yet. Showing their latest closed positions instead.
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.94
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.72
Yes position
Will LDP win the most seats in the House of Councillors following the 2025 Japan election?
Ends Jul 27, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.44
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.4
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.38
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Elon tweet 215–229 times August 8–August 15?
Ends Aug 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.97
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.94
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.72
Yes position
Will LDP win the most seats in the House of Councillors following the 2025 Japan election?
Ends Jul 27, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.44
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.4
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.38
No position
Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
Israel military action against Iran in July?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will "Fantastic Four: The First Steps" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $125-135m?
Ends Jul 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will the Arizona Cardinals win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will Elon tweet 240–254 times July 25–August 1?
Ends Aug 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will the Chicago Bears win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will XRP dip to $1.9 in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Javier Milei be the first leader out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Trump impose large tariffs in his first 6 months?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the Los Angeles Chargers win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?No 75% 39 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by July 31?No 84% 21 shares
- Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No 86% 34 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Yes 21% 15 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Yes 27% 142 shares
- Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No 85% 45 shares
- China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Yes 9% 37 shares
- Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?No 87% 44 shares
- Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?No 88% 44 shares
- Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No 94.1% 38 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?No 96.9% 29 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?No 72.3% 40 shares