Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 6, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET
Ends Dec 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $768.53
- Potential profit
- $768.53
- User PnL
- -$59.78
Polymarket Trader
0x4e09d6231487352b97852b34a1383B23e39c9dC9-1764867548976
0x4e09d6231487352b97852b34a1383b23e39c9dc9
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $106.82
- Realized PnL
- $1.11K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 18, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET
Ends Dec 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $185
- Potential profit
- $185
- User PnL
- -$9.8
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $182.33
- Potential profit
- $182.33
- User PnL
- -$32.82
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 16, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET
Ends Dec 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $69.04
- Potential profit
- $69.04
- User PnL
- -$9.67
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 9, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50.3
- Potential profit
- $50.3
- User PnL
- -$42
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 7, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET
Ends Jan 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$47.25
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 7, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET
Ends Jan 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$40.75
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$49
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 7, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET
Ends Jan 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$40.5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET
Ends Jan 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$43.75
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 9, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$40.5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET
Ends Jan 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$41.75
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 9, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$40.75
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET
Ends Jan 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $49.99
- Potential profit
- $49.99
- User PnL
- -$48.24
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 9, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $49.99
- Potential profit
- $49.99
- User PnL
- -$40.49
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 7, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET
Ends Jan 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $49.97
- Potential profit
- $49.97
- User PnL
- -$47.23
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 90-91°F on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $40.55
- Potential payout
- $40.57
- Potential profit
- $0.02
- User PnL
- $16.21
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 52%
- Current value
- $21.08
- Potential payout
- $40.54
- Potential profit
- $19.46
- Multiplier
- 1.92x
- User PnL
- $8.11
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C on July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 23.5%
- Current value
- $9.52
- Potential payout
- $40.53
- Potential profit
- $31.01
- Multiplier
- 4.26x
- User PnL
- -$3.45
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 34%
- Current value
- $13.78
- Potential payout
- $40.53
- Potential profit
- $26.75
- Multiplier
- 2.94x
- User PnL
- -$0.41
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 25°C on July 2?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 16%
- Current value
- $6.48
- Potential payout
- $40.51
- Potential profit
- $34.03
- Multiplier
- 6.25x
- User PnL
- -$5.67
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 88-89°F on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.02
- Potential payout
- $40.49
- Potential profit
- $40.47
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$8.08
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 27°C on July 2?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 29.5%
- Current value
- $11.94
- Potential payout
- $40.49
- Potential profit
- $28.55
- Multiplier
- 3.39x
- User PnL
- $3.44
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 14°C on July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $3.44
- Potential payout
- $40.46
- Potential profit
- $37.02
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$1.01
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - February 6, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET
Ends Feb 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $58.89
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - February 7, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET
Ends Feb 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $58.6
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 6, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET
Ends Dec 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $57.3
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - February 6, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET
Ends Feb 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51.66
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - February 8, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50.56
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - February 5, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET
Ends Feb 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $49.63
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - February 7, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET
Ends Feb 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $49.01
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - February 6, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET
Ends Feb 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47.95
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - February 9, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET
Ends Feb 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47.6
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - February 6, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET
Ends Feb 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.57
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - February 9, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET
Ends Feb 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.07
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - February 6, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET
Ends Feb 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.89
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - February 6, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET
Ends Feb 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.75
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - February 6, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET
Ends Feb 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.75
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - February 6, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET
Ends Feb 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.5
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - February 5, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET
Ends Feb 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.28
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - February 6, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET
Ends Feb 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.16
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - February 6, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET
Ends Feb 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.99
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - February 5, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET
Ends Feb 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.64
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - February 8, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.28
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - February 9, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET
Ends Feb 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.61
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - February 6, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET
Ends Feb 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.48
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - February 9, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET
Ends Feb 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.91
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - February 6, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET
Ends Feb 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.22
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on July 1?Yes 26% 4.59 shares
- Solana Up or Down - June 30, 7:30AM-7:45AM ETUp 49% 10.1 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 2:45PM-3:00PM ETUp 94% 4.99 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 1:00PM-1:15PM ETDown 99% 5 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 12:45PM-1:00PM ETUp 99% 5 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 12:30PM-12:45PM ETDown 95% 4.99 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 12:15PM-12:30PM ETUp 99% 5 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 11:45AM-12:00PM ETDown 98% 5 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 11:30AM-11:45AM ETDown 84% 4.96 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 10:15AM-10:30AM ETDown 81% 5 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 9:00AM-9:15AM ETUp 95% 4.99 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 7:45AM-8:00AM ETDown 99% 5 shares