Yes position
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 56.5%
- Current value
- $88.84
- Potential payout
- $157.26
- Potential profit
- $68.42
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- -$22.76
Polymarket Trader
0x4e0e...37d6
0x4e0e717d6113f448d053c4cc1479dfd3928437d6
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $154.67
- Realized PnL
- $100.21
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 15
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Current value
- $7.81
- Potential payout
- $143.36
- Potential profit
- $135.55
- Multiplier
- 18.35x
- User PnL
- $0.82
Yes position
Pete Hegseth impeached by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Current value
- $8.75
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $41.25
- Multiplier
- 5.71x
- User PnL
- -$1.25
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $22.2
- Potential payout
- $24.53
- Potential profit
- $2.33
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $1.84
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $3.21
- Potential payout
- $23.81
- Potential profit
- $20.6
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$1.79
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.5%
- Current value
- $3.44
- Potential payout
- $20.83
- Potential profit
- $17.4
- Multiplier
- 6.06x
- User PnL
- -$1.56
Yes position
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 55.7%
- Current value
- $10.38
- Potential payout
- $18.65
- Potential profit
- $8.27
- Multiplier
- 1.80x
- User PnL
- -$0.55
Yes position
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $1.15
- Potential payout
- $17.73
- Potential profit
- $16.58
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$0.8
Yes position
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.8%
- Current value
- $1.52
- Potential payout
- $17.35
- Potential profit
- $15.83
- Multiplier
- 11.43x
- User PnL
- -$1.48
Yes position
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13%
- Current value
- $2.2
- Potential payout
- $16.95
- Potential profit
- $14.75
- Multiplier
- 7.69x
- User PnL
- -$8.65
Yes position
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 23.5%
- Current value
- $2.75
- Potential payout
- $11.71
- Potential profit
- $8.96
- Multiplier
- 4.26x
- User PnL
- -$3.69
Yes position
Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Current value
- $0.45
- Potential payout
- $8.24
- Potential profit
- $7.78
- Multiplier
- 18.18x
- User PnL
- -$0.95
Yes position
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8
- Potential profit
- $8
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
OpenAI IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 25%
- Current value
- $1.96
- Potential payout
- $7.83
- Potential profit
- $5.88
- Multiplier
- 4.00x
- User PnL
- -$2.27
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.16
No position
Ledger IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86%
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $12.44
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $11.66
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.09
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.82
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.03
Yes position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.91
Down position
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 2?
Ends Mar 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.01
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $3.96
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.56
No position
Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.3
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 23?
Ends Mar 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.25
Yes position
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.39
Down position
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on April 13?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.18
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.06
No position
Will Trump declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.99
Yes position
Crude Oil all time high by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.71
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.48
No position
Will Russia capture Sofiivka by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.48
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.43
Yes position
Will Ethereum reach $2,200 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.38
No position
Remote IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $1.35
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.31
No position
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.24
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes 58.6% 18.65 shares
- Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes 5.5% 27.02 shares
- Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 37.7% 26.38 shares
- Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes 59% 23.59 shares
- Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Yes 12% 27.27 shares
- Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes 5.5% 90.73 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of June?Yes 2.2% 30.33 shares
- Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes 9.3% 31.57 shares
- Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes 7% 28.57 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June?Yes 0.6% 42.38 shares
- Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?Yes 0.2% 68.96 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?Yes 51.1% 10.29 shares