Polymarket Trader

0x4E1D3cC38B1bC9d3D25b7954975E708B90E48Ced-1771688742702

0x4e1d3cc38b1bc9d3d25b7954975e708b90e48ced

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $5.41
Realized PnL: $164.06
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from February 26 to February 28, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $307.69
Potential profit: $307.69
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $121.11
Potential profit: $121.11
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $90.91
Potential profit: $90.91
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $71.43
Potential profit: $71.43
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $59.43
Potential profit: $59.43
User PnL: -$0.95

Yes position

Will Donald Trump post 20-39 Truth Social posts from February 24 to March 3, 2026?

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $59.12
Potential profit: $59.12
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $56.11
Potential profit: $56.11
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $52.63
Potential profit: $52.63
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $49.35
Potential profit: $49.35
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $2.6
Potential payout: $47.62
Potential profit: $45.02
Multiplier: 18.35x
User PnL: $1.6

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $41.67
Potential profit: $41.67
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $35.71
Potential profit: $35.71
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $27.03
Potential profit: $27.03
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $26.32
Potential profit: $26.32
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 640-679 tweets in July 2026?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $1.38
Potential payout: $21.28
Potential profit: $19.89
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: $0.38

Yes position

Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from March 17 to March 24, 2026?

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20.41
Potential profit: $20.41
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $670b and $680b on February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026?

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17.54
Potential profit: $17.54
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 14 to March 16, 2026?

Ends Mar 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17.54
Potential profit: $17.54
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.38
Potential profit: $15.38
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 4 to April 6, 2026?

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.29
Potential profit: $15.29
User PnL: -$0.95

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 9.6%
Current value: $1.43
Potential payout: $14.93
Potential profit: $13.49
Multiplier: 10.42x
User PnL: $0.43

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 26 to February 28, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $57.16

Yes position

Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from February 24 to March 3, 2026?

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.39

Yes position

Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.50–2.60 in February?

Ends Mar 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.15

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 28 to March 2, 2026?

Ends Mar 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.55

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 2 to July 4, 2026?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 840-879 tweets in May 2026?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5.62

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 1040-1079 tweets in April 2026?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.7

Yes position

Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from February 20 to February 27, 2026?

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4.3

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.26

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.14

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on March 21?

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.04

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.85

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on April 4?

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.74

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on April 2?

Ends Apr 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.53

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.23

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on March 29?

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.23

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.22

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on March 27?

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.22

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.15

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.13

Yes position

Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from February 24 to March 3, 2026?

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.11

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on March 26?

Ends Mar 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C on March 25?

Ends Mar 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.03

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 21 to March 23, 2026?

Ends Mar 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.03

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

Yes 6.7% 14.93 shares
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

Yes 12.7% 7.87 shares
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

Yes 2.1% 47.62 shares
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 4 to July 6, 2026?

Yes 30% 3.33 shares
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Yes 17% 7.69 shares
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

Yes 18% 5.26 shares
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Yes 11.4% 8.77 shares
Will Elon Musk post 920-959 tweets in July 2026?

Yes 7.1% 12.65 shares
Will Elon Musk post 960-999 tweets in July 2026?

Yes 5.7% 12.5 shares
Will Elon Musk post 640-679 tweets in July 2026?

Yes 4.7% 21.28 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Yes 12% 5 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

Yes 10% 5 shares