Polymarket Trader

oz100

0x4e1eaa5b58b6eac1f3a1ada6bbbeca090cdec5e3

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $662.04
Realized PnL: $2.95K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 20
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.76K
Potential profit: $3.76K
User PnL: -$1.39K

No position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.49K
Potential profit: $2.49K
User PnL: -$1K

Yes position

Will Angeliki Stogia - Labour win the Gorton and Denton by-election?

Ends Feb 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.05K
Potential profit: $2.05K
User PnL: -$218

No position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.92K
Potential profit: $1.92K
User PnL: -$250

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 32.6%
Current value: $597.25
Potential payout: $1.83K
Potential profit: $1.24K
Multiplier: 3.07x
User PnL: -$2.75

Yes position

Will Sadegh Larijani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $900.94
Potential profit: $900.94
User PnL: -$203

Yes position

Will Gholam-Hossein Mohseni-Eje'i be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $691.98
Potential profit: $691.98
User PnL: -$25

No position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $331.99
Potential profit: $331.99
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $289.05
Potential profit: $289.05
User PnL: -$20

No position

Will Kai Havertz score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $270.16
Potential profit: $270.16
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Morocco win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $263.16
Potential profit: $263.16
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Matt Goodwin – Reform finish third in the Gorton and Denton by-election?

Ends Feb 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $199.35
Potential profit: $199.35
User PnL: -$69

Yes position

Will Starmer say "World Cup" during the next PMQ?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 34%
Current value: $64.79
Potential payout: $190.56
Potential profit: $125.77
Multiplier: 2.94x
User PnL: -$35.21

No position

Will Jude Bellingham score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $102
Potential profit: $102
User PnL: -$50

No position

Will Trump say "Obliterated" or "Obliteration" during Monday news conference?

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $91.59
Potential profit: $91.59
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 5?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $47.17
Potential profit: $47.17
User PnL: -$25

No position

Will the announcers say "Goal" 60+ times during the Switzerland vs Colombia FIFA World Cup Match?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $32.62
Potential profit: $32.62
User PnL: -$10

No position

Trump invokes War Powers against Iran by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.33
Potential profit: $15.33
User PnL: -$7

Yes position

Will Trump say "Japan" or "Korea" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.38
Potential profit: $9.38
User PnL: -$3

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Starmer out by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $445.67

Yes position

Will USA be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $362.96

No position

Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $271.18

No position

Iran Strike on Israel by January 31?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $187.82

Yes position

Will Tarique Rahman be the next Prime Minister of Bangladesh after the Parliamentary election?

Ends Feb 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $186.82

No position

Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" this week? (December 29 - January 4)

Ends Jan 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $138.46

Yes position

Will Trump say "Obama" during the State of the Union address?

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $134.95

Yes position

Will Starmer say "Green" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?

Ends Feb 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $113.85

No position

Will Florian Wirtz score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $111.65

No position

Will Clarence Thomas attend the 2026 State of the Union address?

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $99.88

No position

Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 12, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $91.25

No position

Will Donald Trump visit Russia in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $86.32

Ankalaev position

Pereira vs. Ankalaev

Ends Mar 8, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $77.58

No position

Will Colombia reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $75

Yes position

Will Trump say 'tariff' 5+ times times during the 2025 State of the Union?

Ends Mar 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $65.38

No position

Will Reform UK win at least 1800 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $65.03

No position

Will Trump say "Martin Luther King" in January?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $64.3

No position

Will Donald Trump say "Board of Peace" on Truth Social this week?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $62.22

Yes position

Will Macclesfield FC win on 2026-01-10?

Ends Jan 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $61.55

No position

Israel strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $55.79

No position

Will Trump say "Putin" during the State of the Union address?

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $52.04

No position

Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51.43

No position

Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $47.85

No position

Will Jensen Huang say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 20+ times during NVIDIA keynote?

Ends Jan 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.27

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 32.7% 1,834.86 shares
Will Starmer say "World Cup" during the next PMQ?

Yes 52.5% 190.56 shares
Will the announcers say "Goal" 60+ times during the Switzerland vs Colombia FIFA World Cup Match?

No 30.7% 32.62 shares
Will Colombia reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 40% 125 shares
Will USA be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?

Yes 47% 684.83 shares
Will Julián Álvarez score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 54.6% 122.32 shares
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?

No 30.1% 331.99 shares
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?

No 13% 1,923.08 shares
Will Morocco win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 19% 263.16 shares
Will Julián Álvarez score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 40.9% 122.33 shares
Will Kai Havertz score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 37% 270.16 shares
Will Florian Wirtz score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 47.2% 211.65 shares