Polymarket Trader

OmskBird

0x4e1fc4e94600580cf1446db2c168d8c5c038aa60

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.23K
Realized PnL: $6.31K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.15K
Potential profit: $1.15K
User PnL: -$400

No position

Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 50.5%
Current value: $577.83
Potential payout: $1.14K
Potential profit: $566.39
Multiplier: 1.98x
User PnL: -$422.17

No position

Will France win on 2026-07-09?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $1.22
Potential payout: $1.02K
Potential profit: $1.02K
Multiplier: 833.33x
User PnL: -$398.78

Yes position

Will Trump deport 750,000 or more people in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.02K
Potential profit: $1.02K
User PnL: -$340

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $909.09
Potential profit: $909.09
User PnL: -$200

Yes position

Will Donald Trump announce Lee Zeldin as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $876.65
Potential profit: $876.65
User PnL: -$592.21

No position

Will "The Odyssey" score at least 80 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 10%
Current value: $62.5
Potential payout: $625
Potential profit: $562.5
Multiplier: 10.00x
User PnL: $12.5

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $117K and $118K on July 18?

Ends Jul 18, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $611.17
Potential profit: $611.17
User PnL: -$550.05

No position

Will "The Odyssey" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $14.85
Potential payout: $606.06
Potential profit: $591.21
Multiplier: 40.82x
User PnL: -$5.15

No position

Will "The Odyssey" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 43.5%
Current value: $250.17
Potential payout: $575.11
Potential profit: $324.94
Multiplier: 2.30x
User PnL: $50.17

Yes position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 19.9%
Current value: $70.89
Potential payout: $357.14
Potential profit: $286.25
Multiplier: 5.04x
User PnL: -$29.11

No position

Will "The Odyssey" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.9%
Current value: $5.79
Potential payout: $313.21
Potential profit: $307.41
Multiplier: 54.05x
User PnL: -$4.21

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $263.16
Potential profit: $263.16
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Elon and DOGE cut between $50-100b in federal spending in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $166.67
Potential profit: $166.67
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will RFK end Hepatitis B vaccine recommendation in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $137.41
Potential profit: $137.41
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 37%
Current value: $50.05
Potential payout: $135.27
Potential profit: $85.22
Multiplier: 2.70x
User PnL: $0.05

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $134.12
Potential profit: $134.12
User PnL: -$90

Yes position

Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?

Ends Sep 20, 2026

Implied probability: 79%
Current value: $98.75
Potential payout: $125
Potential profit: $26.25
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: -$1.25

Yes position

Will Donald Trump visit Ireland in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 83.5%
Current value: $95.74
Potential payout: $114.66
Potential profit: $18.92
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: -$4.26

Yes position

Zuckerberg divorce in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $114.29
Potential profit: $114.29
User PnL: -$16

Yes position

U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $109.07
Potential profit: $109.07
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $101.64
Potential profit: $101.64
User PnL: -$50.3

Yes position

Will Trump deport 750,000-1,000,000 people?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $99.81
Potential profit: $99.81
User PnL: -$46

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $106K on June 13?

Ends Jun 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $961.08

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $109K on June 10?

Ends Jun 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $640.63

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $104K and $106K on June 20?

Ends Jun 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $439.31

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $106K on June 17?

Ends Jun 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $402.79

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $106K and $108K on June 20?

Ends Jun 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $345.83

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $313.11

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $255.56

No position

US recession in 2025?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $250.75

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $108K on July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $238.45

Yes position

Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $227.78

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $106K and $108K on June 17?

Ends Jun 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $225.42

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $106K on June 24?

Ends Jun 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $223.1

Yes position

Will Biden pardon Fauci?

Ends Jan 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $222.2

Yes position

US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $179.71

Yes position

Will Elon Musk be a member of the Trump administration?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $161.82

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $102K and $104K on June 24?

Ends Jun 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $161.23

No position

Bitcoin above $120,000 on July 25?

Ends Jul 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $151.58

Yes position

Will Trump say "drill baby drill" during his inauguration speech?

Ends Feb 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $149.5

No position

Yoon out as president of South Korea before April?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $148.64

Yes position

Will Trump and Elon say "trans" or "transgender during their Feb 18 interview?

Ends Feb 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $142.27

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $102K and $104K on June 20?

Ends Jun 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $122.83

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $106K on June 27?

Ends Jun 27, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $122.11

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $120.65

No position

US forces enter Iran by March 14?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $100

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will "The Odyssey" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?

No 35.6% 281.26 shares
Will "The Odyssey" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?

No 3.2% 313.21 shares
Will "The Odyssey" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?

No 3.3% 606.06 shares
Will "The Odyssey" score at least 80 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?

No 8% 625 shares
Will "The Odyssey" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?

No 34% 293.85 shares
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 11, 2026?

No 8.5% 59.02 shares
Trump declassifies new UFO files by July 31?

No 56.9% 87.89 shares
Will the announcers say "Hattrick" or "Hat Trick" during the France vs Morocco FIFA World Cup Match?

No 63% 15.87 shares
Will the announcers say "Goal" 60+ times during the France vs Morocco FIFA World Cup Match?

No 30% 16.67 shares
Will the announcers say "Corner" 15+ times during the France vs Morocco FIFA World Cup Match?

No 19% 26.32 shares
Will the announcers say "Composure" during the France vs Morocco FIFA World Cup Match?

Yes 82% 6.1 shares
Will the announcers say "Onside" during the France vs Morocco FIFA World Cup Match?

Yes 84% 11.9 shares