Polymarket Trader

RazvanelMan

0x4e2059e3e3bb2c31a9a4a0748e9278282a09ccb8

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $319.85
Realized PnL: $26.45K
Win rate: 41.7%
Open positions: 10
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.5% or lower before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 5%
Current value: $256
Potential payout: $5.12K
Potential profit: $4.86K
Multiplier: 20.00x
User PnL: -$1.61K

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $10.45
Potential payout: $110
Potential profit: $99.55
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$49.05

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 10%
Current value: $9.85
Potential payout: $99.01
Potential profit: $89.16
Multiplier: 10.05x
User PnL: -$0.15

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 11.4%
Current value: $10.04
Potential payout: $88.5
Potential profit: $78.45
Multiplier: 8.81x
User PnL: $0.04

Yes position

Exact Score: Netherlands 3 - 1 Sweden?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $66.67
Potential profit: $66.67
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 19.4%
Current value: $9.97
Potential payout: $51.55
Potential profit: $41.57
Multiplier: 5.17x
User PnL: -$0.03

No position

World Cup: Ronaldo to Score 2+ Penalties?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 83.5%
Current value: $12.52
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $2.48
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $5.02

Yes position

Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 60.5%
Current value: $8.29
Potential payout: $13.7
Potential profit: $5.41
Multiplier: 1.65x
User PnL: -$1.71

Yes position

US strike on Cuba by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 40%
Current value: $2
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $3
Multiplier: 2.50x
User PnL: -$0.45

Yes position

Cuban regime falls in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $0.72
Potential payout: $4.99
Potential profit: $4.27
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$0.57

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.05K

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?

Ends Sep 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.85K

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?

Ends Jul 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $449.87

Yes position

Will Justin Rose win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $169.97

Yes position

Will Nicușor Dan win by 0–6%?

Ends May 18, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $163.88

Yes position

Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: $24.95

Yes position

Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $23

Yes position

Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.5%
Multiplier: 28.99x
User PnL: $17.04

Yes position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.38

Yes position

Will Catalin Drula be the next Mayor of Bucharest?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.01

Yes position

Will Belgium win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Spain win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Exact Score: Netherlands 3 - 0 Sweden?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.59

Yes position

Trump x Elon talk today?

Ends Jun 6, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Trump x Elon talk by Monday?

Ends Jun 9, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Catalin Drula finish second in the 2025 Bucharest mayoral by-election?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5.21

Yes position

Will Elon Musk unfollow Donald Trump before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Trump and Elon publicly reconcile by Friday?

Ends Jun 13, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$27.5

Yes position

Will Tommy Fleetwood win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$100

Dan position

Will Dan or Simion win the diaspora vote?

Ends May 18, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$146.2

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 10.1% 99.01 shares
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 11.3% 88.5 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 19.4% 51.55 shares
Exact Score: Netherlands 3 - 0 Sweden?

Yes 16% 58.82 shares
Exact Score: Netherlands 3 - 0 Sweden?

Yes 17% 58.82 shares
Exact Score: Netherlands 3 - 1 Sweden?

Yes 15% 66.67 shares
Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw?

Yes 30% 33.33 shares
Will Spain win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 79.8% 125.26 shares
Will Belgium win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 71% 14.08 shares
Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 73% 13.7 shares
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?

Yes 67% 7.46 shares
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?

Yes 99.4% 1.38 shares