Polymarket Trader

0x4e2d...f77f

0x4e2ddee49608c6fdc3470e8781c88c219e8ff77f

Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section

Open value: $5.7
Realized PnL: $758.83
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Andrew Tate post 0-99 posts from March 3 to March 10, 2026?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $580.26
Potential profit: $580.26
User PnL: -$67.7

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 12 to March 14, 2026?

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$9.92

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 14 to March 16, 2026?

Ends Mar 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $140
Potential profit: $140
User PnL: -$19

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 12 to March 14, 2026?

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $125.69
Potential profit: $125.69
User PnL: -$25.25

No position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 12 to March 14, 2026?

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $105
Potential profit: $105
User PnL: -$51.89

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 14 to March 16, 2026?

Ends Mar 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $84.75
Potential profit: $84.75
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will Andrew Tate post 100-129 posts from March 3 to March 10, 2026?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $60
User PnL: -$7.85

No position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $39.99
Potential profit: $39.99
User PnL: -$22.04

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 23.6%
Current value: $5.7
Potential payout: $24.19
Potential profit: $18.49
Multiplier: 4.25x
User PnL: $2.7

Clippers position

Clippers vs. Pelicans

Ends Mar 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $22.15
Potential profit: $22.15
User PnL: -$10.63

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on February 27?

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20.31
Potential profit: $20.31
User PnL: -$19.33

No position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 7 to March 9, 2026?

Ends Mar 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$9.65

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 18?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18.26
Potential profit: $18.26
User PnL: -$3.47

No position

Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.18
Potential profit: $15.18
User PnL: -$14.27

Yes position

Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $15
User PnL: -$4.7

Knicks position

Thunder vs. Knicks

Ends Mar 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $15
User PnL: -$5.85

Pistons position

Pistons vs. Thunder

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.55
Potential profit: $10.55
User PnL: -$3.06

JD Gaming position

LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs

Ends Mar 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$4.2

No position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.44
Potential profit: $9.44
User PnL: -$1.89

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 2?

Ends Mar 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.26
Potential profit: $9.26
User PnL: -$3.06

No position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on March 1?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.69
Potential profit: $8.69
User PnL: -$2.17

Yes position

Will the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.37
Potential profit: $8.37
User PnL: -$7.87

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on February 27?

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.67
Potential profit: $7.67
User PnL: -$7.4

Yes position

Will XRP reach $1.50 February 23-March 1?

Ends Mar 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.63
Potential profit: $7.63
User PnL: -$2.06

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from April 14 to April 21, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $131.64

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $85.26

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $72.24

Yes position

Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from March 17 to March 24, 2026?

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.75

Yes position

Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41.71

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $37.47

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.84

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.49

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 840-879 tweets in May 2026?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $25.53

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $24.83

Tampa Bay Rays position

Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.41

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 14 to March 16, 2026?

Ends Mar 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.54

Yes position

Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from April 14 to April 21, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $21.21

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.14

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $19.64

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $19.06

Yes position

Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $17.99

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.26

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.05

Yes position

Will Iran strike Israel on March 3?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.37

No position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 23 to March 25, 2026?

Ends Mar 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.32

No position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 16 to March 18, 2026?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.91

Yes position

Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from April 14 to April 21, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $8.9

Yes position

Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $8.27

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?

Yes 12.4% 24.19 shares
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Yes 18.2% 16.04 shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Yes 14% 20 shares
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Yes 18.7% 16.04 shares
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?

Yes 17.2% 26.32 shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Yes 15% 20 shares
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?

Yes 11.4% 26.32 shares
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Yes 12.4% 21.74 shares
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Yes 13.8% 21.74 shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 26% 17.64 shares
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Yes 6.8% 36.14 shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 17% 17.64 shares