Yes position
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1540?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $27.47K
- Potential profit
- $27.47K
- User PnL
- -$28.08
Polymarket Trader
Crypto-Well
0x4e39fdfc230f9312d93db03ab48c10fccf2d8cbf
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $160.54
- Realized PnL
- $1.35K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $21.42
- Potential payout
- $14.28K
- Potential profit
- $14.26K
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- $6.47
Yes position
Will Solana dip to $10 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $19.52
- Potential payout
- $13.01K
- Potential profit
- $12.99K
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- $6.51
Yes position
Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $15.75
- Potential payout
- $10.5K
- Potential profit
- $10.49K
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- $5.25
Yes position
Will Solana reach $150 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $15.62
- Potential payout
- $10.41K
- Potential profit
- $10.4K
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- $5.21
Yes position
Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $15.06
- Potential payout
- $10.04K
- Potential profit
- $10.02K
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- $5.02
Yes position
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $9,000 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $12.45
- Potential payout
- $8.3K
- Potential profit
- $8.29K
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- $4.15
Yes position
Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $11.78
- Potential payout
- $7.86K
- Potential profit
- $7.84K
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- $3.93
Yes position
Elon Musk wins $10b+ settlement against Altman/OpenAI?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.55K
- Potential profit
- $7.55K
- User PnL
- -$8.44
Yes position
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,000 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $11.01
- Potential payout
- $7.34K
- Potential profit
- $7.33K
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- $3.67
Yes position
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1550?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.56K
- Potential profit
- $6.56K
- User PnL
- -$6.56
Yes position
Will Solana reach $160 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $8.44
- Potential payout
- $5.63K
- Potential profit
- $5.62K
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- $2.81
Yes position
Will Databricks have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $1.77
- Potential payout
- $3.54K
- Potential profit
- $3.54K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.77
Yes position
Will Chi Ossé win the 2026 New York 8th District Democratic Primary?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.39K
- Potential profit
- $3.39K
- User PnL
- -$3.57
Yes position
Will the Reserve Bank of Australia increase the target for the cash rate after the June Meeting?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.33K
- Potential profit
- $3.33K
- User PnL
- -$3.33
Yes position
Will the ECB announce no change at the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.33K
- Potential profit
- $3.33K
- User PnL
- -$3.33
Yes position
Will Șerban Matei be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $5
- Potential payout
- $3.33K
- Potential profit
- $3.33K
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- $1.67
Yes position
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.16K
- Potential profit
- $3.16K
- User PnL
- -$3.22
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $35 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $4.69
- Potential payout
- $3.13K
- Potential profit
- $3.12K
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- $1.56
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $54,000 June 8-14?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.11K
- Potential profit
- $3.11K
- User PnL
- -$3.11
Yes position
Will Kraken have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $1.3
- Potential payout
- $2.61K
- Potential profit
- $2.61K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.3
Yes position
Will Eugen Tomac be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $10.31
- Potential payout
- $2.58K
- Potential profit
- $2.57K
- Multiplier
- 250.00x
- User PnL
- $7.73
Yes position
Will Trump and Putin meet next in another EU country?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $3.32
- Potential payout
- $2.21K
- Potential profit
- $2.21K
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- $1.11
Yes position
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $3.1
- Potential payout
- $2.07K
- Potential profit
- $2.06K
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- $1.03
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Trump out as President by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $142.94
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- $104.16
Yes position
Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $94.29
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $93.66
Yes position
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- $87.47
Yes position
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $76.04
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $71.15
Yes position
Will Ethereum reach $5,000 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $69.12
Yes position
Will Dan Motreanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.2%
- Multiplier
- 23.81x
- User PnL
- $64.74
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $53.53
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $48.88
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $45.76
Yes position
Will Hanwha Life Esports win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.8%
- Multiplier
- 4.60x
- User PnL
- $44.42
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $43.2
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $39.07
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $36.2
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $31.78
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $31.26
Yes position
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $31.01
Yes position
Will Solana reach $170 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $29.25
Yes position
Will Carlos Felipe Córdoba win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- $28.89
Yes position
Will May 2026 be the 3rd hottest on record?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $27.84
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $26.82
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $26.73
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Bank of England decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2026 meeting?Yes 0.2% 110.52 shares
- Will Sadio Mane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 0.1% 1,450 shares
- Will Desire Doue be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 0.2% 887.98 shares
- Will Mistral have the #1 AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 0.2% 10 shares
- Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the July 2026 meeting?Yes 0.1% 2,401 shares
- Israeli parliament dissolved by June 15?Yes 0.1% 169.22 shares
- Will Trump and Putin meet next in Russia?Yes 0.2% 37.89 shares
- Israeli parliament dissolved by June 15?Yes 0.1% 277.24 shares
- Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 39m?Yes 0.1% 998.99 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another country?Yes 0.1% 24.42 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another Middle East/North Africa country?Yes 0.1% 10 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Russia?Yes 0.1% 1,688 shares