Yes position
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Current value
- $6.25
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $493.75
- Multiplier
- 80.00x
- User PnL
- -$3.75
Polymarket Trader
Cassandra-Unchained
0x4e48ed9969e0297f2175957f4cf1258b6ca5a96d
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $538.06
- Realized PnL
- $343.59
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $294.12
- Potential profit
- $294.12
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $192.31
- Potential profit
- $192.31
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86%
- Current value
- $117.32
- Potential payout
- $136.42
- Potential profit
- $19.1
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $8.88
Yes position
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 6%
- Current value
- $7.93
- Potential payout
- $133.33
- Potential profit
- $125.4
- Multiplier
- 16.81x
- User PnL
- -$2.07
Yes position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.4%
- Current value
- $8.61
- Potential payout
- $117.12
- Potential profit
- $108.51
- Multiplier
- 13.61x
- User PnL
- -$4.39
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.7%
- Current value
- $14.79
- Potential payout
- $116.88
- Potential profit
- $102.1
- Multiplier
- 7.91x
- User PnL
- -$3.21
Yes position
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Current value
- $6.34
- Potential payout
- $116.28
- Potential profit
- $109.94
- Multiplier
- 18.35x
- User PnL
- -$3.66
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.4%
- Current value
- $20.05
- Potential payout
- $114.94
- Potential profit
- $94.9
- Multiplier
- 5.73x
- User PnL
- $10.05
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 34.5%
- Current value
- $39.3
- Potential payout
- $113.77
- Potential profit
- $74.48
- Multiplier
- 2.90x
- User PnL
- $20.3
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $54.46
- Potential payout
- $65.22
- Potential profit
- $10.76
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- -$0.54
No position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Current value
- $55.41
- Potential payout
- $58.02
- Potential profit
- $2.61
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $8.41
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.4%
- Current value
- $38.26
- Potential payout
- $39.71
- Potential profit
- $1.45
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $3.26
Yes position
Will Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 76.1%
- Current value
- $27.89
- Potential payout
- $36.65
- Potential profit
- $8.76
- Multiplier
- 1.31x
- User PnL
- -$2.11
No position
Trump declassifies new UFO files by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 55%
- Current value
- $17.46
- Potential payout
- $31.75
- Potential profit
- $14.29
- Multiplier
- 1.82x
- User PnL
- -$2.54
Yes position
Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30.85
- Potential profit
- $30.85
- User PnL
- -$7.5
No position
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Current value
- $19.88
- Potential payout
- $24.69
- Potential profit
- $4.81
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- -$0.12
No position
Will GameStop acquire eBay?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $21.11
- Potential payout
- $24.13
- Potential profit
- $3.02
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $22.73
- Potential profit
- $22.73
- User PnL
- -$20
No position
Will Elon Musk rejoin the Trump Administration in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.5%
- Current value
- $21.41
- Potential payout
- $22.19
- Potential profit
- $0.78
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $1.41
Yes position
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $15.2
- Potential payout
- $17.38
- Potential profit
- $2.17
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $15.41
- Potential payout
- $16.48
- Potential profit
- $1.07
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0.41
No position
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.5%
- Current value
- $16.07
- Potential payout
- $16.48
- Potential profit
- $0.41
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $1.07
No position
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $14.92
- Potential payout
- $16.48
- Potential profit
- $1.57
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- -$0.08
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $72.8
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.18
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.04
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.46
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.42
No position
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.56
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.33
No position
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.79
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.4
No position
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.08
Yes position
Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.1%
- Multiplier
- 32.79x
- User PnL
- $8.42
No position
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.26
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- $6.95
No position
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.89
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.67
Yes position
SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.63
No position
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.43
No position
Will Jensen Huang say "Human Robot" or "Human Robotic" during NVIDIA keynote?
Ends Jan 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.09
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.84
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.29
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 7?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.25
No position
Will France strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.18
No position
Lecornu out as French PM by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.64
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?No 97.8% 21.05 shares
- Will Donald Trump be TIME Person of the Year 2026?No 86% 5.57 shares
- Will the Democrats win the New York governor race in 2026?Yes 90% 11.11 shares
- California wealth tax defeats opposing propositions?No 73% 13.7 shares
- Will MicroStrategy announce selling any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?Yes 90.1% 11.09 shares
- Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?Yes 81% 12.35 shares
- Trump out as President before 2027?No 92% 10.87 shares
- Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?No 81% 24.69 shares
- Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026?No 91% 16.48 shares
- Will Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2026?Yes 81.9% 36.65 shares
- Will Bryan Johnson have sex again by July 31?No 94% 5.32 shares
- Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?No 89% 11.24 shares