No position
Will Alex De Paula be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.8%
- Current value
- $29.03
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $0.98
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- -$0.95
Polymarket Trader
Noelleg4
0x4e4d3488fb6c46d5a0965325f9c55ba162497001
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $52.99
- Realized PnL
- $14.38
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $23.96
- Potential payout
- $24
- Potential profit
- $0.04
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will Khamenei post 10-14 posts from June 12 to June 19, 2026?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $19
- Potential profit
- $19
- User PnL
- -$18.81
No position
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 22?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$9.6
Yes position
Will Andrew Tate post 0-99 posts from February 17 to February 24, 2026?
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$9.2
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on February 15?
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.91
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 7°C on February 2?
Ends Feb 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.9
No position
US strikes Iran by February 1, 2026?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.9
No position
Will Russia enter Havrylivka by March 31, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.9
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 7°C on March 2?
Ends Mar 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.8
Yes position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.7
Yes position
Will the announcers say "Takedown" or "Take down" 3+ times during Strickland vs. Hernandez?
Ends Feb 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.7
No position
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 72-73°F on February 18?
Ends Feb 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.68
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 7°C on February 13?
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.65
No position
Will the highest temperature in Miami be 75°F or below on March 1?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.58
No position
Israeli forces enter Choukine by June 7?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.57
Yes position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 22, 2026?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.55
Yes position
Will LDP win a majority in the 2026 Japanese snap election?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.52
No position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on February 12?
Ends Feb 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.51
Yes position
Will Linda Lampenius & Pete Parkkonen win UMK 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.49
No position
Will "Michael" score at least 40 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?
Ends Apr 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.48
Yes position
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 30, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.48
Yes position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.46
No position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 56 and 59 million views on day 2?
Ends Apr 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.44
No position
Will Khamenei post 10-14 posts from April 24 to May 1, 2026?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.44
No position
Will Russia enter Krasnopillya by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.44
No position
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on March 15?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.43
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 42-43°F on March 14?
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.43
No position
Will MrBeast's video get between 66 and 68 million views on day 3?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.42
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?No 99.8% 24 shares
- Will Scotland vs. Brazil end in a draw?No 99.9% 25 shares
- Will Khamenei post 10-14 posts from June 12 to June 19, 2026?No 99% 19 shares
- Will Alex De Paula be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?No 99.9% 30 shares
- Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 22, 2026?Yes 99.9% 19 shares
- Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 22, 2026?Yes 97% 19 shares
- Israeli forces enter Choukine by June 7?No 97% 19 shares
- Will JOLTS Job Openings be below 6.5M in April?No 99.9% 16 shares
- Will JOLTS Job Openings be below 6.5M in April?No 97.5% 16 shares
- Will Russia enter Krasnopillya by May 31?No 99.9% 15 shares
- Will USD fall to 1.6M Iranian rials by May 31?No 99% 17 shares
- Will USD fall to 1.6M Iranian rials by May 31?No 97% 17 shares