No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.7%
- Current value
- $2.22K
- Potential payout
- $2.25K
- Potential profit
- $30.38
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $157.33
Polymarket Trader
AyatollahDollar
@ayatollahdollar
0x4e4e965a833ceff9d0e447753346f347e69c8bd9
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $3.5K
- Realized PnL
- $3.22K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $875
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $125
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $15
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96%
- Current value
- $402.55
- Potential payout
- $419.54
- Potential profit
- $16.99
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $61.04
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $487.02
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $349.49
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $242.73
No position
Iran leadership change by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $233.4
No position
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $231.53
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $185.99
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $165.28
Yes position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Multiplier
- 5.13x
- User PnL
- $162.38
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $144.64
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $108.53
No position
Iran leadership change by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $105.21
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 7?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $85.5
No position
Israeli forces enter Beirut by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $82.08
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $78.5
No position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $76
No position
Will Bahrain strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $74.87
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $65.5
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $62.12
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $59.08
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50.4
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $49.5
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.73
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.44
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.5
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes 41% 956.5 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes 86% 2,445.27 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes 73% 400 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes 77% 155 shares
- Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 12?No 86.2% 230 shares
- Will Trump speak to Reza Pahlavi in May?No 98.2% 50.86 shares
- Will Trump speak to Reza Pahlavi in May?No 98.2% 228.59 shares
- Will Trump speak to Reza Pahlavi in May?No 98.3% 50.86 shares
- Will Trump speak to Reza Pahlavi in May?No 99.9% 70.33 shares
- Iran leadership change by May 31?No 99.2% 1,585.7 shares
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?No 94.3% 624.94 shares
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?No 79.4% 377.62 shares