Yes position
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $1.13
- Potential payout
- $204.59
- Potential profit
- $203.47
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- -$18.77
Polymarket Trader
0x4e51...448f
0x4e51ad8c318cad0d73ae7140c7488e4b3702448f
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $41.79
- Realized PnL
- $146.03
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.22
- Potential payout
- $111.11
- Potential profit
- $110.89
- Multiplier
- 500.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.78
Yes position
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Current value
- $10.62
- Potential payout
- $92.32
- Potential profit
- $81.7
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- -$1.38
Yes position
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $0.26
- Potential payout
- $58.82
- Potential profit
- $58.56
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$0.74
Yes position
Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.2%
- Current value
- $0.44
- Potential payout
- $37.05
- Potential profit
- $36.6
- Multiplier
- 83.33x
- User PnL
- -$0.56
Yes position
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $0.16
- Potential payout
- $29.41
- Potential profit
- $29.25
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- -$0.84
Yes position
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 26.5%
- Current value
- $5.89
- Potential payout
- $22.22
- Potential profit
- $16.33
- Multiplier
- 3.77x
- User PnL
- -$1.11
Yes position
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $0.16
- Potential payout
- $18.82
- Potential profit
- $18.66
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- -$0.95
Yes position
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $1.5
- Potential payout
- $17.7
- Potential profit
- $16.2
- Multiplier
- 11.83x
- User PnL
- -$0.5
Yes position
Trump out as President by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.02
- Potential payout
- $16.2
- Potential profit
- $16.17
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$0.95
Yes position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.3%
- Current value
- $1.65
- Potential payout
- $16.13
- Potential profit
- $14.48
- Multiplier
- 9.76x
- User PnL
- -$0.35
Yes position
Will Los Angeles FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?
Ends Dec 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $0.81
- Potential payout
- $12.5
- Potential profit
- $11.69
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$2.19
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 14.1%
- Current value
- $1.64
- Potential payout
- $11.63
- Potential profit
- $9.99
- Multiplier
- 7.07x
- User PnL
- -$0.36
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.7%
- Current value
- $1.57
- Potential payout
- $11.5
- Potential profit
- $9.93
- Multiplier
- 7.33x
- User PnL
- -$0.43
Yes position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1%
- Current value
- $0.11
- Potential payout
- $11.4
- Potential profit
- $11.29
- Multiplier
- 105.26x
- User PnL
- -$1.89
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 26.5%
- Current value
- $2.95
- Potential payout
- $11.12
- Potential profit
- $8.17
- Multiplier
- 3.77x
- User PnL
- -$1.06
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 20%
- Current value
- $2.16
- Potential payout
- $10.81
- Potential profit
- $8.65
- Multiplier
- 5.01x
- User PnL
- $0.16
Yes position
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $0.96
- Potential payout
- $7.14
- Potential profit
- $6.18
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$3.04
Yes position
Negative GDP growth in 2026?
Ends Jan 29, 2027- Implied probability
- 7.4%
- Current value
- $0.44
- Potential payout
- $6.02
- Potential profit
- $5.58
- Multiplier
- 13.61x
- User PnL
- -$0.56
Yes position
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 23%
- Current value
- $1.35
- Potential payout
- $5.89
- Potential profit
- $4.54
- Multiplier
- 4.35x
- User PnL
- $0.35
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $4.85
- Potential payout
- $5.88
- Potential profit
- $1.03
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- -$0.15
Yes position
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 40.5%
- Current value
- $2.29
- Potential payout
- $5.66
- Potential profit
- $3.37
- Multiplier
- 2.47x
- User PnL
- -$0.71
Yes position
US recession by end of 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $0.58
- Potential payout
- $5.56
- Potential profit
- $4.98
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- -$1.42
Yes position
Will Trump and Putin meet next in another EU country?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.38
- Potential profit
- $5.37
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $74.01
Yes position
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.49
Yes position
Will Ukraine win on 2026-05-31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.69
Yes position
Will England win on 2026-06-17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.76
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.62
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.45
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.38
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.09
Yes position
Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.92
Yes position
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.6
Yes position
Will United States win on 2026-06-19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.35
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.57
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.25
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.09
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 3%
- Multiplier
- 33.90x
- User PnL
- $1.04
Yes position
Will McCormick & Company (MKC) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.94
Yes position
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.86
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.8
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.75
Yes position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.63
Yes position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.51
Yes position
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.49
Yes position
Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 9%+?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.38
Usyk position
Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.37
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20?Yes 34% 2.94 shares
- Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 24% 4.17 shares
- Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 23% 6.25 shares
- Will United States win on 2026-06-19?Yes 63% 6.35 shares
- Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes 2.7% 37.04 shares
- Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes 2% 71.42 shares
- Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 6.6% 14.7 shares
- Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 5.6% 16.39 shares
- Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 2.2% 47.61 shares
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 18.5% 10.81 shares
- Will England win on 2026-06-17?Yes 78% 1.28 shares
- Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw?Yes 32% 3.13 shares