Polymarket Trader

Not.lost.futurz

0x4e51bc8c5a39951190c4b8f3a9a5fe60199953ca

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $255.95
Realized PnL: $834.36
Win rate: 91.7%
Open positions: 12
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

TikTok sale announced in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.37K
Potential profit: $11.37K
User PnL: -$26.98

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Ron Paul as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will Trump release more Epstein files by December 22?

Ends Dec 26, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.5K
Potential profit: $3.5K
User PnL: -$7

Yes position

Will Trump nominate David Malpass as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.42K
Potential profit: $3.42K
User PnL: -$22

Yes position

Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $255.95
Potential payout: $2.23K
Potential profit: $1.97K
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: -$25.84

Boy position

Leavitt Baby: Boy or Girl?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.52K
Potential profit: $1.52K
User PnL: -$58.19

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Barron Trump as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Gold close between $4200 and $4300 at the end of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $352.59
Potential profit: $352.59
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Jeannette Jara win the Chilean presidential election?

Ends Nov 16, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $250
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $191.47
Potential profit: $191.47
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Gold close between $4500 and $4600 at the end of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $148.28
Potential profit: $148.28
User PnL: -$9

Yes position

Will Gold close between $4400 and $4500 at the end of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $122.34
Potential profit: $122.34
User PnL: -$4

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $239

Yes position

TikTok sale announced in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $118.44

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win by 0-10%?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $102.43

No position

Thailand x Cambodia ceasefire by December 15?

Ends Dec 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $78.28

Yes position

Thailand x Cambodia ceasefire by December 31?

Ends Dec 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $73.96

Yes position

U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49.72

No position

Will Russia capture Rodynske by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.86

No position

Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 9?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.23

Yes position

Lighter Airdrop on December 30?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.23

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.77

Yes position

Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.22

Yes position

Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.48

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $12.68

Yes position

Fact Check: Epstein video confirmed fake?

Ends Jan 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.92

No position

US strike on Syria by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.26

No position

U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.49

Yes position

Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 91.7%
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $5.14

No position

Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by January 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.8

Yes position

Will "Stranger Things: Season 5" be the top US Netflix show this week? (December 30, 2025)

Ends Dec 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.74

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.32

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 38.9%
Multiplier: 2.57x
User PnL: $1.19

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.67

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 20.8%
Multiplier: 4.82x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Kabuto 1st Edition card hit $100 by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.48

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?

Yes 13% 246.77 shares
Will Mamdani pass the 2% Millionaire Tax before 2027?

Yes 7% 492.56 shares
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?

Yes 13% 247.85 shares
Trump out as President before 2027?

Yes 10% 117.64 shares
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 2.5% 75 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 16.1% 38.46 shares
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?

Yes 13% 210.15 shares
Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?

Yes 51.4% 69 shares
Will Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair?

Yes 1.6% 191.47 shares
Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?

Yes 3.6% 120 shares
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?

Yes 25.1% 70.42 shares
Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?

Yes 17% 69 shares