Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.96
Polymarket Trader
Sienna936
0x4e5a4982253ee4ca7132aa17052200c3c9bad8de
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $15.29
- Win rate
- 75%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Latest Resolved Positions
No open position details returned
This trader has an open-position count, but open position cards are not available yet. Showing their latest closed positions instead.
Yes position
Cuban regime falls in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.5%
- Multiplier
- 6.06x
- User PnL
- $1.62
Yes position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.6%
- Multiplier
- 28.17x
- User PnL
- $1.56
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Multiplier
- 5.71x
- User PnL
- $1.55
Yes position
Will Max Verstappen finish second in the 2025 Drivers Championship?
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.46
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.4%
- Multiplier
- 74.07x
- User PnL
- $0.99
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.96
Yes position
Cuban regime falls in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.5%
- Multiplier
- 6.06x
- User PnL
- $1.62
Yes position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.6%
- Multiplier
- 28.17x
- User PnL
- $1.56
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Multiplier
- 5.71x
- User PnL
- $1.55
Yes position
Will Max Verstappen finish second in the 2025 Drivers Championship?
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.46
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.4%
- Multiplier
- 74.07x
- User PnL
- $0.99
Yes position
Will Andrew Cuomo win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.92
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 9?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.76
No position
Will xAI have the top AI model on August 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.36
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.25
Yes position
Will Alibaba have the top AI model on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.18
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- User PnL
- $0.16
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Multiplier
- 48.78x
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- User PnL
- $0.14
No position
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in August?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will Trump be impeached in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will 'Wicked: For Good' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 97.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Yes 8% 17 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 30?Yes 2.2% 150 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes 46% 88 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes 46% 88 shares
- Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No 56% 10.03 shares
- Cuban regime falls in 2026?Yes 20% 15 shares
- Cuban regime falls in 2026?Yes 19% 162 shares
- Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?No 89.5% 15 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by July 31?Yes 15% 155 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by July 31?Yes 14% 155 shares
- Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30?No 96.3% 52 shares
- Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30?No 96.3% 52 shares