No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $37.23
- Potential payout
- $39.81
- Potential profit
- $2.59
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $1
Polymarket Trader
neroust
0x4e65056e2d10462f4fdc1b9b372a7fb7f7c1a76f
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $67.53
- Realized PnL
- $109.03
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Ethereum reach $2,500 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $19.21
- Potential payout
- $19.21
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.21
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $18.95
- Potential profit
- $18.95
- User PnL
- -$18
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $11.09
- Potential payout
- $11.09
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.09
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Raptors position
Pacers vs. Raptors
Ends Dec 11, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $67.43
Celtics position
Heat vs. Celtics
Ends Dec 10, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.17
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.61
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $60k in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.69
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $120K in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.81
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.46
No position
Will Ethereum dip to $3800 in September?
Ends Oct 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.43
No position
Will Solana hit $250 by February 28 2025?
Ends Feb 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.29
No position
Pump.fun airdrop in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.2
No position
Will Solana reach $250 in May?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.16
Yes position
Ethereum above $3,500 on December 6?
Ends Dec 6, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.12
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $80K in September?
Ends Oct 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.86
No position
China x Taiwan military clash by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.68
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by January 31, 2025?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.52
No position
Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.48
No position
Will Ethereum dip to $1500 in August?
Ends Sep 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.46
No position
US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.44
No position
Farcaster airdrop in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.39
No position
Will Ethereum dip to $1700 in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.38
No position
AI Industry Downturn by March 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.31
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.31
No position
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.29
No position
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $250 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.28
No position
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.27
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?Yes 99.2% 11.09 shares
- Will Ethereum reach $2,500 in June?No 98.9% 19.21 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 95% 18.95 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?No 99.2% 18.31 shares
- Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?No 98.9% 20.49 shares
- Will Solana reach $170 in May?No 99.7% 10.03 shares
- Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?No 97.6% 20.49 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?No 98.3% 18.31 shares
- Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?No 99.5% 22.4 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $20 in April?No 99.7% 25.89 shares
- Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?No 98.2% 22.4 shares
- Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?No 99.8% 22.82 shares