Yes position
Will Amazon be the second largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $686.61
- Potential profit
- $686.61
- User PnL
- -$0.69
Polymarket Trader
fradd
0x4e6a520a87e6426607dd96b82363cdf5460c0ead
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.91
- Realized PnL
- $343.28
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 19
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down on February 27?
Ends Feb 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $173.08
- Potential profit
- $173.08
- User PnL
- -$90
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down on April 27?
Ends Apr 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $94.47
- Potential profit
- $94.47
- User PnL
- -$47.24
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down on April 23?
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $35.2
- Potential profit
- $35.2
- User PnL
- -$13.38
Yes position
Will Google be the second largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $32.8
- Potential profit
- $32.8
- User PnL
- -$0.03
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 1?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $21.57
- Potential profit
- $21.57
- User PnL
- -$11
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15.64
- Potential profit
- $15.64
- User PnL
- -$14.7
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down on April 21?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $13.67
- Potential profit
- $13.67
- User PnL
- -$6.56
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down on April 29?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.5
- Potential profit
- $12.5
- User PnL
- -$6
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $150k in October?
Ends Nov 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.36
- Potential profit
- $12.36
- User PnL
- -$0.01
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down on April 28?
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.71
- Potential profit
- $11.71
- User PnL
- -$5.78
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.67
- Potential profit
- $6.67
- User PnL
- -$4
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 22?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.5
- Potential profit
- $6.5
- User PnL
- -$3.05
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.22
- Potential profit
- $6.22
- User PnL
- -$4.17
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 48.5%
- Current value
- $2.91
- Potential payout
- $6
- Potential profit
- $3.09
- Multiplier
- 2.06x
- User PnL
- -$0.09
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 12?
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.64
- Potential profit
- $5.64
- User PnL
- -$3.18
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.44
- Potential profit
- $5.44
- User PnL
- -$4.79
Yes position
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.23
- Potential profit
- $4.23
- User PnL
- -$0
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.66
- Potential profit
- $3.66
- User PnL
- -$3
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$14B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $156.31
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down on February 26?
Ends Feb 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.57
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $135K in August?
Ends Sep 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $25.76
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down on April 26?
Ends Apr 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down on February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down on February 25?
Ends Feb 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.81
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down on April 25?
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.93
Yes position
Will Google be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $11.01
Yes position
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $8.39
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down on April 22?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down on April 24?
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.32
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.4
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.34
No position
Hyperswap FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.56
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.28
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.76
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.44
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.17
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.13
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.05
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.04
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Bitcoin Up or Down on June 17?Up 50% 6 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down on May 12?Up 70% 5 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down on May 12?Up 59% 5.08 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down on May 12?Up 54% 5.56 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:00AM-4:05AM ETDown 88% 5.44 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:55AM-4:00AM ETUp 94% 4.79 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:50AM-3:55AM ETUp 60% 6.67 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:15AM-9:20AM ETDown 49% 8.51 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:10AM-9:15AM ETUp 75% 4.17 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:05AM-9:10AM ETDown 64% 3.13 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:00AM-9:05AM ETDown 77% 2 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:55AM-9:00AM ETDown 65% 1.54 shares