No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.98K
- Potential profit
- $4.98K
- User PnL
- -$76.99
Polymarket Trader
yepee
0x4e7a28857aa44b6b811043eb2b0742957605e81e
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $302.37
- Realized PnL
- $95.29
- Win rate
- 58.3%
- Open positions
- 23
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $422.22
- Potential profit
- $422.22
- User PnL
- -$19
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $289.73
- Potential payout
- $290.46
- Potential profit
- $0.73
- User PnL
- $139.86
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Current value
- $12.64
- Potential payout
- $64.81
- Potential profit
- $52.18
- Multiplier
- 5.13x
- User PnL
- -$2.36
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$4
Yes position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $38.46
- Potential profit
- $38.46
- User PnL
- -$1
Y
Yes position
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by June 26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $38.46
- Potential profit
- $38.46
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.3T by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $28.57
- Potential profit
- $28.57
- User PnL
- -$1
Y
Yes position
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by June 26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $28.57
- Potential profit
- $28.57
- User PnL
- -$1
Y
Yes position
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $28.22
- Potential profit
- $28.22
- User PnL
- -$5
Y
Yes position
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $23.81
- Potential profit
- $23.81
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $21.33
- Potential profit
- $21.33
- User PnL
- -$12
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20.84
- Potential profit
- $20.84
- User PnL
- -$5
Y
Yes position
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14.29
- Potential profit
- $14.29
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $13.89
- Potential profit
- $13.89
- User PnL
- -$5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.5T by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.34
- Potential profit
- $8.34
- User PnL
- -$1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.69
- Potential profit
- $7.69
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.56
- Potential profit
- $5.56
- User PnL
- -$1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.79
- Potential profit
- $4.79
- User PnL
- -$2
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.13
- Potential profit
- $3.13
- User PnL
- -$1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.46
- Potential profit
- $1.46
- User PnL
- -$1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.28
- Potential profit
- $1.28
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.62
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.45
Yes position
Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.2m barrels per day in 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2027- Implied probability
- 74.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.34x
- User PnL
- $12.63
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.29
Yes position
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.64
No position
Iran leadership change by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $4.07
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $2.17
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.33
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.5%
- Multiplier
- 4.65x
- User PnL
- $0.96
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.85
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.67
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.23
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.16
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.06
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.39
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.48
Y
Yes position
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$1.53
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.84
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$2.08
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 70.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.42x
- User PnL
- -$2.41
Yes position
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.35T by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.54
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$7.43
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.5T by June 30?Yes 12% 8.33 shares
- Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.3T by June 30?Yes 3.5% 28.57 shares
- Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by June 30?Yes 4.2% 23.81 shares
- Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by June 26?Yes 2.6% 38.46 shares
- Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by June 26?Yes 3.5% 28.57 shares
- Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by June 30?Yes 7% 14.29 shares
- Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by June 30?Yes 4.7% 21.28 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:15AM-4:20AM ETDown 57% 2.04 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:15AM-4:20AM ETDown 49% 2.04 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:05AM-4:10AM ETUp 69% 1.45 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:05AM-4:10AM ETUp 54% 3.89 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:05AM-4:10AM ETUp 66% 1.52 shares