Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on April 24?
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $15
- User PnL
- -$0.15
Polymarket Trader
BearBoss
0x4e7f9b1f116ade4e106c1f3646a00b5b047d528b
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $58
- Realized PnL
- $20.89
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on April 22?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $15
- User PnL
- -$0.21
No position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on May 3?
Ends May 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $15
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.27
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on May 2?
Ends May 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $15
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.3
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on May 2?
Ends May 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $15
- User PnL
- -$0.3
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on May 3?
Ends May 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $15
- User PnL
- -$0.27
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on April 24?
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $15
- User PnL
- -$0.15
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 62-63°F on April 26?
Ends Apr 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14.01
- Potential profit
- $14.01
- User PnL
- -$0.15
No position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C or higher on May 4?
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14
- Potential profit
- $14
- User PnL
- -$13.79
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 14°C on April 24?
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14
- Potential profit
- $14
- User PnL
- -$0.14
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 2?
Ends May 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $14
- Potential payout
- $14
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.14
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 9°C on April 24?
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14
- Potential profit
- $14
- User PnL
- -$0.28
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on April 23?
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14
- Potential profit
- $14
- User PnL
- -$0.14
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on April 26?
Ends Apr 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14
- Potential profit
- $14
- User PnL
- -$0.14
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 2?
Ends May 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14
- Potential profit
- $14
- User PnL
- -$0.14
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C or higher on May 4?
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $14
- Potential payout
- $14
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $13.79
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on April 23?
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $13
- Potential profit
- $13
- User PnL
- -$0.13
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on April 26?
Ends Apr 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $13
- Potential profit
- $13
- User PnL
- -$0.13
No position
Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 28°C or below on April 20?
Ends Apr 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.99
- Potential profit
- $12.99
- User PnL
- -$12.86
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on April 21?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12
- Potential profit
- $12
- User PnL
- -$0.12
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on April 21?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12
- Potential profit
- $12
- User PnL
- -$0.24
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 29°C on April 27?
Ends Apr 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12
- Potential profit
- $12
- User PnL
- -$0.12
No position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12
- Potential profit
- $12
- User PnL
- -$11.82
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 13°C on April 26?
Ends Apr 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12
- Potential profit
- $12
- User PnL
- -$0.12
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on May 14?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.78
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.35
N
No position
Will Iran close its airspace by June 11?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.99
Yes position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.96
No position
Will Azerbaijan advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.9
Yes position
Will Lara Bird win the 2026 Arbroath and Broughty Ferry by-election?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.65
No position
Will "The Four Seasons: Season 2" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.41
No position
Will "Passenger" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 11m and 12.5m?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.41
Yes position
Will "Swapped" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.32
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on May 16?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.3
No position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on May 29?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.3
No position
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 76°F or higher on June 1?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.28
No position
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on May 27?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.28
No position
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on June 20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.28
No position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on May 4?
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.28
No position
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 33°C on June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.28
No position
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C on May 5?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.28
No position
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 9°C on April 24?
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.28
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on May 29?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.27
No position
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 40°C on June 6?
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.26
No position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on May 2?
Ends May 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.26
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 5?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.26
No position
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on June 9?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.26
No position
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 82-83°F on June 7?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.26
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 26?Yes 98% 10 shares
- Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-25?Yes 99.9% 25 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 30°C on June 25?No 99% 15 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on June 24?No 99% 15 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C or below on June 23?No 99% 15 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on June 21?No 99% 11 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on June 20?No 98% 14 shares
- Will Lara Bird win the 2026 Arbroath and Broughty Ferry by-election?Yes 95% 13 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 20°C on June 16?No 98% 13 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 33°C on June 15?No 98% 14 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on June 14?No 99% 11 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C on June 14?No 98% 10 shares