Polymarket Trader

0x4E826E0c1c10b0976233d0a724676A168611587D-1780919528468

0x4e826e0c1c10b0976233d0a724676a168611587d

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $40.62
Realized PnL: $10.73
Win rate: 25%
Open positions: 19
Closed positions: 8
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 5 and 10 years in prison?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 1.5%
Current value: $4.22
Potential payout: $290.93
Potential profit: $286.71
Multiplier: 68.97x
User PnL: -$9

Yes position

Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to less than 5 years in prison?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $1.98
Potential payout: $158.37
Potential profit: $156.39
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: -$8.84

Yes position

Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 20 and 30 years in prison?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 1.4%
Current value: $1.63
Potential payout: $120.8
Potential profit: $119.17
Multiplier: 74.07x
User PnL: -$5.5

Yes position

Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 10 and 20 years in prison?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 1.4%
Current value: $1.21
Potential payout: $86.34
Potential profit: $85.13
Multiplier: 71.43x
User PnL: -$0.48

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 16%
Current value: $6.85
Potential payout: $42.92
Potential profit: $36.07
Multiplier: 6.27x
User PnL: $2.23

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 19.4%
Current value: $6.96
Potential payout: $35.99
Potential profit: $29.03
Multiplier: 5.17x
User PnL: -$1.15

Yes position

Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $33.34
Potential profit: $33.34
User PnL: -$0.87

Yes position

Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $29.99
Potential profit: $29.99
User PnL: -$1.14

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 17.2%
Current value: $4.73
Potential payout: $27.56
Potential profit: $22.83
Multiplier: 5.83x
User PnL: $1.11

Yes position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6.1%
Current value: $1.21
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $18.79
Multiplier: 16.53x
User PnL: $0.17

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$0.96

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 38.6%
Current value: $7.69
Potential payout: $19.94
Potential profit: $12.25
Multiplier: 2.59x
User PnL: $3.58

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $15
User PnL: -$1.07

Yes position

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 14.1%
Current value: $1.41
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $8.59
Multiplier: 7.10x
User PnL: $0.35

Yes position

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $0.71
Potential payout: $8.34
Potential profit: $7.63
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: -$0.29

Yes position

Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $0.98
Potential payout: $7.89
Potential profit: $6.91
Multiplier: 8.03x
User PnL: $0.25

Yes position

Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to more than 30 years in prison?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $0.03
Potential payout: $7.03
Potential profit: $7
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$0.07

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.3%
Current value: $1.01
Potential payout: $5.56
Potential profit: $4.55
Multiplier: 5.48x
User PnL: $0.03

Yes position

Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.76
Potential profit: $1.76
User PnL: -$1.48

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $13.05

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.06

Yes position

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 5.4%
Multiplier: 18.69x
User PnL: -$0.09

Yes position

Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.1%
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: -$0.13

Yes position

Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 49.5%
Multiplier: 2.02x
User PnL: -$0.15

Yes position

Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.43

Yes position

Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.1%
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: -$0.64

Yes position

Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.2%
Multiplier: 46.51x
User PnL: -$0.94

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 5.2% 20 shares
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 7.1% 15 shares
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 10.6% 10 shares
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 3.8% 29.99 shares
Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30?

Yes 3.3% 653.68 shares
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 4.8% 20 shares
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 2.6% 33.34 shares
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 8.8% 11.12 shares
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 8.3% 11.12 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 17.8% 5.56 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 21% 4.77 shares
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Yes 12% 8.34 shares