Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.6%
- Current value
- $55.78
- Potential payout
- $56.6
- Potential profit
- $0.82
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $4.22
Polymarket Trader
0x4e8a...2be7
0x4e8af3b268839d6f0708ac9cebf722658dc82be7
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $129.52
- Realized PnL
- $38.73
- Win rate
- 75%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- Current value
- $50.06
- Potential payout
- $50.51
- Potential profit
- $0.45
- User PnL
- $8.27
Yes position
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 34.5%
- Current value
- $11.47
- Potential payout
- $33.26
- Potential profit
- $21.79
- Multiplier
- 2.90x
- User PnL
- -$11.89
Yes position
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 42.5%
- Current value
- $9.87
- Potential payout
- $23.23
- Potential profit
- $13.36
- Multiplier
- 2.35x
- User PnL
- -$7.55
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.7%
- Current value
- $2.12
- Potential payout
- $19.87
- Potential profit
- $17.75
- Multiplier
- 9.39x
- User PnL
- -$0.88
No position
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 20.6%
- Current value
- $0.23
- Potential payout
- $1.11
- Potential profit
- $0.88
- Multiplier
- 4.87x
- User PnL
- -$0.77
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.21
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.2
Yes position
Will RC Deportivo La Coruña win on 2026-05-24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.86
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.12
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.64
Yes position
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.33
Yes position
Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.05
No position
US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.98
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.58
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.5
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.29
No position
US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.09
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.96
Yes position
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-23?
Ends Feb 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.96
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.87
No position
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.52
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.38
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.17
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down on February 15?
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
No position
Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$9.95
Yes position
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$12
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 91.1% 56.6 shares
- Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 75% 23.23 shares
- Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 70.2% 33.26 shares
- Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes 87% 23.44 shares
- Will RC Deportivo La Coruña win on 2026-05-24?Yes 57% 20.6 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 82.7% 50.51 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes 84% 70 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?Yes 86% 9.2 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?Yes 54% 17.82 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in April?Yes 72% 17.91 shares
- Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?Yes 36.8% 48.72 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes 80.2% 18.36 shares