Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?
Ends Nov 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.37K
- Potential profit
- $1.37K
- User PnL
- -$58.02
Polymarket Trader
man.future
0x4eb050787d3854d2e7f8c1935e73e3722a74da3e
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $250.9
- Realized PnL
- $527.55
- Win rate
- 37.5%
- Open positions
- 22
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $628.02
- Potential profit
- $628.02
- User PnL
- -$60
Yes position
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 650k+ BTC by November 30?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $576.92
- Potential profit
- $576.92
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?
Ends Nov 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $501.48
- Potential profit
- $501.48
- User PnL
- -$40.03
Yes position
Will Donald Trump be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will Jensen Huang be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $484.37
- Potential profit
- $484.37
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will Elon Musk be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $428.57
- Potential profit
- $428.57
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will SpaceX not IPO by December 31, 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $334.45
- Potential profit
- $334.45
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?
Ends Nov 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $306.15
- Potential profit
- $306.15
- User PnL
- -$35.03
Yes position
xAI IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $230.77
- Potential profit
- $230.77
- User PnL
- -$30
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 3?
Ends Jan 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $185.19
- Potential profit
- $185.19
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $160.71
- Potential payout
- $160.71
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $70.71
Yes position
Stripe IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $14.25
- Potential payout
- $150
- Potential profit
- $135.75
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$15.75
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $133.33
- Potential profit
- $133.33
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $125
- Potential profit
- $125
- User PnL
- -$40
Yes position
OpenAI IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 24.5%
- Current value
- $27.22
- Potential payout
- $111.11
- Potential profit
- $83.89
- Multiplier
- 4.08x
- User PnL
- -$2.78
Yes position
Anduril IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11%
- Current value
- $10.79
- Potential payout
- $98.13
- Potential profit
- $87.33
- Multiplier
- 9.09x
- User PnL
- -$19.21
No position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $96.15
- Potential profit
- $96.15
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will Alex Honnold not complete a free solo of Taipei 101 by January 31?
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $90.91
- Potential profit
- $90.91
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $63.83
- Potential profit
- $63.83
- User PnL
- -$30
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 4?
Ends Jan 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $62.5
- Potential profit
- $62.5
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Anthropic IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 75.5%
- Current value
- $37.92
- Potential payout
- $50.22
- Potential profit
- $12.3
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- $7.92
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?
Ends Nov 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $396.97
No position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.64
Yes position
Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 30 minutes and 1 hour and 45 minutes?
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.66
No position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.13
No position
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?
Ends Nov 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.14
No position
Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.63
No position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$8B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.49
Yes position
Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 45 minutes and 2 hours?
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.23
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?
Ends Nov 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.67
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?
Ends Nov 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?
Ends Nov 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?
Ends Nov 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?
Ends Nov 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?
Ends Nov 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?
Ends Nov 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?
Ends Nov 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?
Ends Nov 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?
Ends Nov 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?
Ends Nov 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?
Ends Nov 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?
Ends Nov 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?
Ends Nov 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?
Ends Nov 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?
Ends Nov 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 15 minutes and 1 hour and 30 minutes?Yes 16% 135.5 shares
- Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 15 minutes and 1 hour and 30 minutes?Yes 41% 24.39 shares
- Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 45 minutes and 2 hours?Yes 14.1% 199.87 shares
- Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 30 minutes and 1 hour and 45 minutes?Yes 50.6% 120 shares
- Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 45 minutes and 2 hours?Yes 14.6% 199.87 shares
- Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 15 minutes and 1 hour and 30 minutes?Yes 18% 111.11 shares
- Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 1 hour and 15 minutes?Yes 3.8% 120.48 shares
- Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 15 minutes and 1 hour and 30 minutes?Yes 12% 125 shares
- Will Alex Honnold not complete a free solo of Taipei 101 by January 31?Yes 5.5% 90.91 shares
- Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 15 minutes and 1 hour and 30 minutes?Yes 24% 125 shares
- Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 1 hour and 15 minutes?Yes 8.3% 120.48 shares
- Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 30 minutes and 1 hour and 45 minutes?Yes 25% 120 shares