Polymarket Trader

yerubaalAA

0x4ec8b0d469bab75917c70d0ffa4439b15c1396a5

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $108.98
Realized PnL: $14.72K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $717.4
Potential profit: $717.4
User PnL: -$674.36

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $714
Potential profit: $714
User PnL: -$49.98

No position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $700
Potential profit: $700
User PnL: -$199.5

No position

US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $603
Potential profit: $603
User PnL: -$500.49

Yes position

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire by September 15?

Ends Sep 15, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $394
Potential profit: $394
User PnL: -$79.13

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $393.99
Potential profit: $393.99
User PnL: -$137.96

Yes position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $383.84
Potential profit: $383.84
User PnL: -$102.14

Yes position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$96

No position

Iran closes its airspace by June 8?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$103.77

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $151
Potential profit: $151
User PnL: -$49.83

Yes position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $121
Potential profit: $121
User PnL: -$49.61

No position

Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 97.3%
Current value: $108.98
Potential payout: $112
Potential profit: $3.02
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $9.3

Yes position

Will USD fall to 1.7M Iranian rials by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $110
Potential profit: $110
User PnL: -$26.6

Yes position

Will USD reach 2.0M Iranian rials by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $88
Potential profit: $88
User PnL: -$49.28

Yes position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $77
Potential profit: $77
User PnL: -$67.61

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 25?

Ends Feb 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $59
Potential profit: $59
User PnL: -$19.91

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $55.98
Potential profit: $55.98
User PnL: -$35.07

Nuggets position

Nuggets vs. Warriors

Ends Oct 24, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $44
Potential profit: $44
User PnL: -$20.24

Nets position

Hawks vs. Nets

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $40
User PnL: -$10

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 4?

Ends Mar 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $31.99
Potential profit: $31.99
User PnL: -$9.92

Bucks position

Rockets vs. Bucks

Ends Nov 9, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $25
User PnL: -$10

Spurs position

Spurs vs. Suns

Ends Nov 24, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $23
Potential profit: $23
User PnL: -$10.12

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Israel ground offensive in Rafah by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.75K

Yes position

Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?

Ends Aug 19, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.42K

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2024 meeting?

Ends Sep 18, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $977.78

No position

Iran military response by Monday?

Ends Aug 12, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $758

No position

Israel military action against Iran in August?

Ends Aug 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $720.08

Yes position

Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $719.46

No position

Israel ground offensive in Rafah by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $622.16

No position

Iran military response by Tuesday?

Ends Aug 6, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $570

No position

Next Israel x Hamas ceasefire in December?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $543.47

No position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by Saturday?

Ends Feb 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $516.16

No position

Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?

Ends Apr 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $470

Kamala position

Favorite to win on Polymarket day after debate?

Ends Sep 11, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $465

No position

Nasrallah remains Hezbollah leader through Oct 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $458.88

No position

Will Israel invade Lebanon before September?

Ends Aug 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $390

No position

Iran military response by Friday?

Ends Aug 23, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $379.72

Kamala position

Favorite to win on Polymarket week after debate?

Ends Sep 17, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $377.4

No position

Hezbollah enters Israel in August?

Ends Aug 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $375.99

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $368.3

No position

Iran military response by Friday?

Ends Aug 2, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $356.85

Yes position

Trump sentenced to no prison time?

Ends Jul 11, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $312

No position

Biden drops out by July 12?

Ends Jul 12, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $309.49

No position

Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $309.48

No position

Will Rafael Nadal win the 2024 French Open Men's Singles?

Ends Jun 9, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $291.89

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $255

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Iran closes its airspace by June 8?

No 51.3% 5.33 shares
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Yes 53.5% 209 shares
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Yes 35.8% 418.99 shares
Will Rafael Jodar win the 2026 Men's French Open?

No 89.8% 149.56 shares
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?

Yes 94% 717.4 shares
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?

Yes 87% 100 shares
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?

Yes 88% 125 shares
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?

Yes 88% 125 shares
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?

No 45.3% 240 shares
Iran closes its airspace by May 27?

No 41.2% 270.68 shares
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?

Yes 88% 25 shares
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?

Yes 86% 238.32 shares