No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on January 13?
Ends Jan 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $443
- Potential profit
- $443
- User PnL
- -$0.44
Polymarket Trader
longdaniel
0x4ed31f25024cdb251c9a815ec3be011515a0ee33
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $80.96
- Realized PnL
- $0.18
- Win rate
- 20.8%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $80.96
- Potential payout
- $81
- Potential profit
- $0.04
- User PnL
- $0.04
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.04
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 24?
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.25
Yes position
Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.17
Y
Yes position
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
New "Stranger Things" episode released by Wednesday?
Ends Jan 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1%
- Multiplier
- 105.26x
- User PnL
- -$0
No position
Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- User PnL
- -$0.08
No position
Will Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- User PnL
- -$0.08
No position
Will Athletic Club win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.08
No position
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- User PnL
- -$0.08
No position
Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.08
No position
Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.08
No position
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 98.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- -$0.08
No position
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- User PnL
- -$0.09
No position
Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- User PnL
- -$0.09
No position
Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- User PnL
- -$0.09
No position
Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- User PnL
- -$0.09
No position
Will MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- User PnL
- -$0.09
No position
Will Crystal Palace win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.09
No position
Will Jurassic World: Rebirth be the top grossing movie of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.09
No position
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- User PnL
- -$0.09
No position
Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- User PnL
- -$0.09
No position
Will Nottm Forest win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.09
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 99.9% 81 shares
- Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No 97.3% 84 shares
- Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No 97.4% 84 shares
- Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No 99% 85 shares
- Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No 99.1% 85 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 24?No 99.7% 83 shares
- Will the New Orleans Pelicans win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes 0.1% 173 shares
- Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No 99.1% 84 shares
- Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No 99.1% 84 shares
- Will the New Orleans Pelicans win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes 0.1% 258 shares
- Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No 99.3% 79 shares
- Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No 99.4% 79 shares