No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- $3.52
Polymarket Trader
chefstefdetroit
0x4ed514711ded1bfedaab12cc5952dc0794198cec
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $12.48
- Win rate
- 91.7%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Latest Resolved Positions
No open position details returned
This trader has an open-position count, but open position cards are not available yet. Showing their latest closed positions instead.
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.52
Yes position
Will the Socialist Party win the most seats in the 2025 Portuguese legislative election?
Ends May 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.94
Yes position
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 31.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.17x
- User PnL
- $0.85
No position
Will Elon tweet 400-424 times March 21-28?
Ends Mar 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.75
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82000 and $84000 on Mar 7?
Ends Mar 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.59
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- $3.52
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.52
Yes position
Will the Socialist Party win the most seats in the 2025 Portuguese legislative election?
Ends May 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.94
Yes position
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 31.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.17x
- User PnL
- $0.85
No position
Will Elon tweet 400-424 times March 21-28?
Ends Mar 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.75
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82000 and $84000 on Mar 7?
Ends Mar 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.59
No position
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 68%
- Multiplier
- 1.47x
- User PnL
- $0.52
Yes position
Will Cristian Popescu Piedone be the next Mayor of Bucharest?
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.44
No position
Will Elon tweet 625-649 times March 7-14?
Ends Mar 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.32
No position
Will Lee Jun-seok win less than 2% of the vote in the South Korea election?
Ends Jun 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.32
No position
Will the highest temperature in NYC be 66°F or higher on March 22?
Ends Mar 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.27
No position
Will Trump deport 1,250,000-1,500,000 people?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.26
No position
TikTok sale announced before April?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.22
No position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.22
No position
Will Elon tweet 675-699 times March 14-21?
Ends Mar 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.21
Yes position
Netanyahu out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- $0.17
No position
Will Atletico Madrid win La Liga?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.17
Yes position
Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
FDP wins 5% or more of vote in German election?
Ends Feb 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
XRP above $2.70 on May 30?
Ends May 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will Ethereum dip to $1200 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2025 World Series?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Carlos Sainz Jr. be the 2025 Drivers Champion?
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?No 74% 10 shares
- Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?No 73% 52 shares
- Cuban regime falls in 2026?No 83% 46 shares
- Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?No 74% 57 shares
- Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No 95.9% 42 shares
- Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No 95.9% 20 shares
- Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?No 88% 48 shares
- Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?No 88% 48 shares
- Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Yes 28% 42 shares
- Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No 95.5% 10 shares
- Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?Yes 6% 22 shares
- Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?Yes 7% 3 shares