Yes position
Will Ed Miliband be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.1
- Potential payout
- $39
- Potential profit
- $38.9
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$4.04
Polymarket Trader
0x4ed6...8d04
0x4ed65a6e8fbf2ed48f797ca35187ce8b27978d04
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $73.47
- Realized PnL
- -$1.29
- Win rate
- 46.7%
- Open positions
- 12
- Closed positions
- 15
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.3%
- Current value
- $1.21
- Potential payout
- $23
- Potential profit
- $21.79
- Multiplier
- 19.05x
- User PnL
- -$1.32
No position
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $17
- Potential payout
- $17
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $8.5
Yes position
Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $2.47
- Potential payout
- $17
- Potential profit
- $14.54
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- -$6.04
No position
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.9%
- Current value
- $15.82
- Potential payout
- $16
- Potential profit
- $0.18
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.81
No position
Will the US recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $11.9
- Potential payout
- $13
- Potential profit
- $1.11
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $0.19
No position
Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $9.9
- Potential payout
- $12
- Potential profit
- $2.1
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- -$0.06
Yes position
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 34%
- Current value
- $3.74
- Potential payout
- $11
- Potential profit
- $7.26
- Multiplier
- 2.94x
- User PnL
- -$0.99
Yes position
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $0.86
- Potential payout
- $9
- Potential profit
- $8.15
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$0.23
No position
AI bubble burst in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $4.12
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0.88
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $0.24
Yes position
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 38.5%
- Current value
- $1.93
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $3.08
- Multiplier
- 2.60x
- User PnL
- $0.73
No position
Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89%
- Current value
- $4.45
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0.55
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $0.55
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $6.38
Yes position
AI bubble burst in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.6%
- Multiplier
- 5.70x
- User PnL
- $1.39
Yes position
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $1.16
No position
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0.58
No position
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 52.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.91x
- User PnL
- $0.31
No position
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90%
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- $0.18
No position
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.02
Yes position
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.04
Yes position
Maduro guilty of all counts?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 25.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.92x
- User PnL
- -$0.12
Yes position
Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.1%
- Multiplier
- 14.18x
- User PnL
- -$0.12
Yes position
Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11%
- Multiplier
- 9.09x
- User PnL
- -$0.8
No position
Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 71.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.40x
- User PnL
- -$1.22
Yes position
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- -$4.29
Yes position
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.76
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?Yes 6.3% 20 shares
- Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?No 83% 12 shares
- Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?Yes 12% 9 shares
- Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?No 85% 9 shares
- Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?Yes 75.1% 11 shares
- Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?No 88% 16 shares
- Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027?No 78% 5 shares
- Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Yes 22% 10 shares
- Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?No 81.4% 11 shares
- Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2026?Yes 94.3% 6 shares
- Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?No 42.4% 9 shares
- Will the US recognize Palestine before 2027?No 90% 13 shares