Yes position
Iran leadership change by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 16%
- Current value
- $594.29
- Potential payout
- $3.71K
- Potential profit
- $3.12K
- Multiplier
- 6.25x
- User PnL
- -$105.71
Polymarket Trader
Zubumafu
0x4ef7e2e97735a144c35c04bf22bcac184d3221be
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $594.29
- Realized PnL
- $7.34K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Up position
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $70
- Potential profit
- $70
- User PnL
- -$35
Up position
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $45
- Potential profit
- $45
- User PnL
- -$22.5
Up position
XRP Up or Down - May 14, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $35
- Potential profit
- $35
- User PnL
- -$17.5
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$10.2
Down position
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$10.2
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$9.95
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$10.1
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $19
- Potential profit
- $19
- User PnL
- -$9.6
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $15
- User PnL
- -$7.5
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $15
- User PnL
- -$7.6
Up position
Solana Up or Down - May 17, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $15
- User PnL
- -$7.45
Up position
XRP Up or Down - May 14, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $15
- User PnL
- -$7.5
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $15
- User PnL
- -$7.45
Up position
XRP Up or Down - May 14, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $15
- User PnL
- -$7.4
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $15
- User PnL
- -$7.5
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $15
- User PnL
- -$7.5
Up position
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $15
- User PnL
- -$7.5
Up position
Solana Up or Down - May 16, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14.99
- Potential profit
- $14.99
- User PnL
- -$7.25
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14.9
- Potential profit
- $14.9
- User PnL
- -$7.4
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$5.05
Up position
Solana Up or Down - May 21, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$5.1
Up position
Solana Up or Down - May 20, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$5.1
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$5.05
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.88K
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $931.29
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $791.88
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $652.27
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $494.75
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $292.98
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $251.39
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $206.82
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET
Ends Mar 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $130.96
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET
Ends Mar 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $103.16
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET
Ends Mar 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $65.08
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET
Ends Mar 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $57.83
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET
Ends Mar 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47.49
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.29
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - March 6, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET
Ends Mar 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.8
No position
Hezbollah strike on Israel by March 7?
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $42.03
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - March 6, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET
Ends Mar 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.02
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.83
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET
Ends Mar 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.21
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.89
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.89
Yes position
Iran leadership change by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- $35.52
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET
Ends Mar 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.13
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.57
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Iran leadership change by December 31?Yes 15% 1,333.33 shares
- Iran leadership change by December 31?Yes 21% 2,380.95 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by June 8?Yes 53.6% 1,836.04 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by June 8?Yes 54.5% 1,836.04 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by June 8?No 38.9% 4,758.5 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by June 8?No 46.1% 271.33 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by June 8?No 46.7% 2,569.7 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?Yes 65% 1,905.94 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by June 8?No 54.8% 1,277.22 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by June 8?No 45.9% 640.25 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by June 8?Yes 60.1% 1,787.31 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by June 8?Yes 65.6% 213.36 shares