Polymarket Trader

0x4efa...10a1

0x4efaebc437f062c83f74d742d94d7be2c23710a1

Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section

Open value: $20.17
Realized PnL: $431.53
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 20
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $250
User PnL: -$5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $250
User PnL: -$5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $250
User PnL: -$2.5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $162.5
Potential profit: $162.5
User PnL: -$6

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $161.58
Potential profit: $161.58
User PnL: -$5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $117.65
Potential profit: $117.65
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 20.2%
Current value: $20.17
Potential payout: $100.09
Potential profit: $79.92
Multiplier: 4.96x
User PnL: $2.17

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $60.66
Potential profit: $60.66
User PnL: -$5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $60
User PnL: -$3

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 8PM ET

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $55
Potential profit: $55
User PnL: -$5.15

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$2

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$2

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $41.17
Potential profit: $41.17
User PnL: -$15

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40.54
Potential profit: $40.54
User PnL: -$15

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $33.33
Potential profit: $33.33
User PnL: -$3

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30.61
Potential profit: $30.61
User PnL: -$15

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $25
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $59.99

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 3PM ET

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47.19

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.41

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.74

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.75

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.53

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.53

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.29

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.3

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.59

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.69

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.12

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.12

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.09

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.85

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.02

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.02

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.02

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.92

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $7.93

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.27

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5.7

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.46

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET

Down 4% 50 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET

Up 37% 40.54 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET

Up 99% 51.93 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET

Down 1% 100 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET

Down 8% 62.5 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET

Up 38.5% 51.93 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET

Down 3.1% 161.58 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET

Up 2% 250 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET

Up 99% 29.41 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET

Down 8.2% 60.66 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET

Up 51% 29.41 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET

Down 4% 50 shares