Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 4AM ET
Ends Mar 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.55K
- Potential profit
- $2.55K
- User PnL
- -$35.68
Polymarket Trader
0x4efFeEfe3F5d1Da6eeB10Fb9FEd509b35E4e6D2e-1770686703653
0x4effeefe3f5d1da6eeb10fb9fed509b35e4e6d2e
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $6.61
- Realized PnL
- -$8.75
- Win rate
- 87.5%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 8
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 8AM ET
Ends Mar 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.3K
- Potential profit
- $1.3K
- User PnL
- -$44.49
No position
Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $2.18
- Potential payout
- $2.18
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- -$0
Yes position
Will the Bank of Mexico announce no change at the June meeting?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $2.15
- Potential payout
- $2.15
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will Iraq win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $1.16
- Potential payout
- $1.16
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.01
Yes position
Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $1.12
- Potential payout
- $1.12
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.04
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.64
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the second-best AI model at the end of March 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.26
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
Yes position
Will the Bank of Canada announce no change at the April meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
Yes position
Will Claude by Anthropic be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 8?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will Alibaba have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 67°F or below on April 5?
Ends Apr 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$9.8
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?Yes 96.3% 1.12 shares
- Will Iraq win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 99.1% 1.16 shares
- Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 99.9% 2.18 shares
- Will Claude by Anthropic be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 8?Yes 98.9% 1.09 shares
- Will the Bank of Mexico announce no change at the June meeting?Yes 97.7% 2.15 shares
- Will Alibaba have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?No 99.8% 4.61 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 67°F or below on April 5?No 99.2% 1.11 shares
- Will the Bank of Canada announce no change at the April meeting?Yes 97.8% 2.45 shares
- Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of April 2026?Yes 87% 4.94 shares
- Will Anthropic have the second-best AI model at the end of March 2026?Yes 90% 2.56 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in March?No 99.5% 9,795.54 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in March?No 99.6% 9,795.54 shares