Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on June 23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 35.7%
- Current value
- $54.19
- Potential payout
- $152
- Potential profit
- $97.81
- Multiplier
- 2.81x
- User PnL
- $41.88
Polymarket Trader
firemia
0x4f196ed8512f526eadcacc079cfe5bf9cdbe27ad
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $162.87
- Realized PnL
- $75.68
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 27°C on June 23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.3%
- Current value
- $108.65
- Potential payout
- $119
- Potential profit
- $10.35
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- -$0.95
Yes position
Will Azerbaijan come in last place at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $70
- Potential profit
- $70
- User PnL
- -$1.89
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C or below on June 3?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$2.05
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on May 21?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$1.05
Yes position
Will Serbia be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $33
- Potential profit
- $33
- User PnL
- -$2.21
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on June 9?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $26
- Potential profit
- $26
- User PnL
- -$1.33
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on June 23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.04
- Potential payout
- $18
- Potential profit
- $17.96
- Multiplier
- 500.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.04
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.08
Yes position
Will "FJORD by Cristian MUNGIU" win Palme d'Or at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival?
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.83
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $6.24
No position
Will Lars Løkke Rasmussen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.38
No position
Will Al Green be the Democratic nominee for TX-18?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.03
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?
Ends Mar 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.95
No position
Will Viktor Hovland win the 2026 Masters tournament?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.26
Yes position
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.25
No position
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?
Ends Apr 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.14
No position
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on May 14?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.02
No position
Will Trần Thanh Mẫn be the next President of Vietnam?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.02
No position
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.01
Yes position
Will Bernie say "Billionaire" 3+ times in Maine?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.9
No position
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?
Ends Mar 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.87
No position
Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.82
Yes position
Will Akshay Bhatia win the 2026 Masters tournament?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.63
Yes position
Will Justin Rose win the 2026 Masters tournament?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.55
No position
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.51
No position
Will Fidesz-KDNP win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 9%+?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.5
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.48
No position
Will India send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.41
No position
Will Robert MacIntyre win the 2026 Masters tournament?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.32
No position
Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 0-3%?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.28
No position
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- $0.22
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 27°C on June 23?No 92.1% 119 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on June 23?Yes 6% 18 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on June 23?Yes 8.1% 16 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on June 9?Yes 5.1% 26 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?Yes 5.5% 35 shares
- Will Bernie say "Billionaire" 3+ times in Maine?Yes 96.2% 23.6 shares
- Will "FJORD by Cristian MUNGIU" win Palme d'Or at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival?Yes 6.5% 18 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on May 21?Yes 2.1% 20.4 shares
- Will Intuit Q3 Online Ecosystem revenue be above $2.45B?No 4.8% 95 shares
- Will Intuit Q3 Online Ecosystem revenue be above $2.45B?No 4.7% 43 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on May 14?No 96.7% 31 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?Yes 1.4% 95 shares