Y
Yes position
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 9, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 61.5%
- Current value
- $28.94
- Potential payout
- $47.1
- Potential profit
- $18.16
- Multiplier
- 1.63x
- User PnL
- -$1.06
Polymarket Trader
MrMX123os
0x4f1b3327d3d9de23a9496d3263b14eda3dd2b12e
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $120.19
- Realized PnL
- -$0.82
- Win rate
- 57.1%
- Open positions
- 9
- Closed positions
- 14
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96%
- Current value
- $41.85
- Potential payout
- $43.62
- Potential profit
- $1.77
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $1.85
No position
Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 76.5%
- Current value
- $25.5
- Potential payout
- $33.34
- Potential profit
- $7.83
- Multiplier
- 1.31x
- User PnL
- $15.5
Yes position
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.2%
- Current value
- $1.92
- Potential payout
- $31.25
- Potential profit
- $29.33
- Multiplier
- 16.26x
- User PnL
- -$3.08
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $27.78
- Potential profit
- $27.78
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 41.8%
- Current value
- $10.81
- Potential payout
- $25.9
- Potential profit
- $15.08
- Multiplier
- 2.40x
- User PnL
- -$9.19
Yes position
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.5%
- Current value
- $4.68
- Potential payout
- $21.79
- Potential profit
- $17.1
- Multiplier
- 4.65x
- User PnL
- -$5.32
Yes position
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $19.02
- Potential profit
- $19.02
- User PnL
- -$7
Yes position
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $6.48
- Potential payout
- $7.58
- Potential profit
- $1.1
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $1.48
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.04
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.1
No position
Will Hamas agree to disarm by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.74
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.08
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.86
No position
Will Hamas agree to disarm by February 28?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.73
No position
Will France win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.39
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.2
No position
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 50.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.98x
- User PnL
- -$0.94
Yes position
Will Esteban Ocon finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?
Ends Apr 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$20
No position
ChatGPT Outage by April 3?
Ends Apr 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$20
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 9, 2026?Yes 63.7% 47.1 shares
- Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No 91.7% 43.62 shares
- Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?Yes 36.8% 19.02 shares
- Will France win Eurovision 2026?No 86.3% 17.39 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No 82% 12.2 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes 36% 27.78 shares
- US forces enter Iran by April 30?No 0.5% 200 shares
- US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes 90% 8.47 shares
- Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?No 67.3% 14.86 shares
- ChatGPT Outage by April 3?No 75.9% 26.34 shares
- US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes 59% 16.95 shares
- US forces enter Iran by March 31?No 84% 17.86 shares