Hiworld.

Implied probability: 94.5%
Current value: $21.76K
Potential payout: $23.04K
Potential profit: $1.28K
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: -$1.16K

Yes position

Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by May 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.79K
Potential profit: $13.79K
User PnL: -$790.25

Yes position

Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?

Implied probability: 87%
Current value: $10.72K
Potential payout: $12.32K
Potential profit: $1.6K
Multiplier: 1.15x
User PnL: $1.26K

Yes position

Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Implied probability: 3.1%
Current value: $359.22
Potential payout: $11.59K
Potential profit: $11.23K
Multiplier: 32.26x
User PnL: -$158.9

Yes position

Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Implied probability: 3.2%
Current value: $315.14
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $9.69K
Multiplier: 31.75x
User PnL: -$53.43

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $55
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $9.94K
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$844.96

No position

Will Putin visit China by May 31?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $10K
User PnL: -$14.97

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $887.36
Potential payout: $9.34K
Potential profit: $8.45K
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$980.77

Yes position

Will Abbas Araghchi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $39.6
Potential payout: $6.6K
Potential profit: $6.56K
Multiplier: 166.67x
User PnL: -$80.38

No position

Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Implied probability: 25.8%
Current value: $1.44K
Potential payout: $5.6K
Potential profit: $4.15K
Multiplier: 3.88x
User PnL: -$1.98K

Yes position

Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?

Implied probability: 96.6%
Current value: $4.88K
Potential payout: $5.06K
Potential profit: $174.54
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $897.32

No position

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Implied probability: 15.8%
Current value: $715.3
Potential payout: $4.53K
Potential profit: $3.81K
Multiplier: 6.33x
User PnL: -$1.53K

Yes position

Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Implied probability: 16%
Current value: $655.99
Potential payout: $4.1K
Potential profit: $3.44K
Multiplier: 6.25x
User PnL: -$1.53K

Yes position

Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4K
Potential profit: $4K
User PnL: -$142.55

Yes position

Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4K
Potential profit: $4K
User PnL: -$142.55

Yes position

Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4K
Potential profit: $4K
User PnL: -$142.55

Yes position

Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4K
Potential profit: $4K
User PnL: -$142.55

Yes position

Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4K
Potential profit: $4K
User PnL: -$142.55

Yes position

Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $21.02
Potential payout: $3.5K
Potential profit: $3.48K
Multiplier: 166.67x
User PnL: -$242.71

Yes position

Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.35K
Potential profit: $3.35K
User PnL: -$115.64

Yes position

Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Implied probability: 3.5%
Current value: $92.7
Potential payout: $2.62K
Potential profit: $2.53K
Multiplier: 28.25x
User PnL: -$162.55

Yes position

Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?

Implied probability: 90%
Current value: $2.29K
Potential payout: $2.55K
Potential profit: $254.78
Multiplier: 1.11x
User PnL: $354.22

Yes position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Implied probability: 56%
Current value: $1.33K
Potential payout: $2.38K
Potential profit: $1.05K
Multiplier: 1.79x
User PnL: $589.11

No position

Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 225,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$120

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.74K

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Implied probability: 94.3%
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $8.22K

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.2K

Yes position

Will To Lam be elected General Secretary of the Vietnamese Communist Party?

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.15K

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.51K

Yes position

Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.47K

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.78K

Yes position

Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.04K

Yes position

Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.81K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from January 17 to January 19, 2026?

Ends Jan 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.79K

Yes position

Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.19K

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.08K

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2K

Yes position

Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.97K

Yes position

Will Sanae Takaichi be the Prime Minister of Japan as a result of the 2026 snap election?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.86K

No position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.77K

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.58K

Yes position

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.4K

No position

US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.15K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.14K

No position

US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.14K

No position

Another US strike on Venezuela by January 10?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.02K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?

Ends Mar 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $970.95

No position

Will the Supreme Court rule on Trump's tarriffs by January 31?