Polymarket Trader

bede

0x4f370b9f2566f50516852585e931215e171dbede

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $3
Realized PnL: $57.92
Win rate: 87.5%
Open positions: 1
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 10°C on May 8?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $3
Potential payout: $3
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 550-599 times Feb 28 - March 7?

Ends Mar 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be between 74-75°F on May 11?

Ends May 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.41

No position

Will Elon tweet 350-374 times Dec 27-Jan 3?

Ends Jan 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.27

Team Falcons position

Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group B

Ends Feb 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.95

No position

Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.95

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be between 58-59°F on April 10?

Ends Apr 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.82

Yes position

Will Trump say "Border" 20 or more times during Wisconsin rally?

Ends Oct 6, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.28

Yes position

Will Google have the top AI model on May 31?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.28

No position

US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.22

Team Falcons position

Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Spirit (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.2

Yes position

Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?

Ends Dec 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.17

No position

US x Venezuela military engagement by November 14?

Ends Nov 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.1

PSG position

Champions League Quarterfinals: PSG vs. Aston Villa

Ends Mar 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.09

Gen.G position

LoL: Gen.G vs LYON (BO5) - First Stand Group B

Ends Mar 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.05

Yes position

Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.05

No position

Will Karen Khachanov win Wimbledon 2025?

Ends Jul 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.03

Barcelona position

Champions League Quarterfinals: Barcelona vs. Dortmund

Ends Mar 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.01

No position

Will the Government shutdown end October 27-30?

Ends Nov 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.01

Yes position

Will 'Fight or Flight' gross more than $1.5m opening weekend?

Ends May 12, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Trump's approval rating be between 46.5% and 46.9% on April 11?

Ends Apr 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Arsenal win the UEFA Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

No position

Kamala Rust Belt swing state sweep?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2025 Stanley Cup?

Ends Jun 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 10°C on May 8?

No 99.9% 3 shares
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Spirit (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs

Team Falcons 83% 1.2 shares
Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?

No 76% 3.95 shares
LoL: Gen.G vs LYON (BO5) - First Stand Group B

Gen.G 99% 5.44 shares
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 3 Winner

Top Esports 71% 4.23 shares
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffs

FURIA 74% 6.76 shares
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group B

Team Falcons 84% 5.95 shares
US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?

No 95% 4.46 shares
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?

Yes 98.8% 4.24 shares
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Astralis (BO3)

Aurora Gaming 59.5% 5.04 shares
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 14?

No 98.3% 5.96 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?

Yes 9% 1,000 shares