Yes position
Will François Bayrou win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $65
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $9.94K
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$5
Polymarket Trader
arsenelapin
0x4f3c6c2c96a707ea8cee3afbcdf42206abac4a70
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $600.69
- Realized PnL
- $1.67K
- Win rate
- 75%
- Open positions
- 15
- Closed positions
- 4
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Michel Barnier win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $75
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $9.93K
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- $5
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 on June 3?
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.96K
- Potential profit
- $6.96K
- User PnL
- -$60.15
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 on June 3?
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.14K
- Potential profit
- $6.14K
- User PnL
- -$73.2
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 4?
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.84K
- Potential profit
- $4.84K
- User PnL
- -$228.97
Yes position
Will Lighter reach $3 before 2027?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 26%
- Current value
- $374.4
- Potential payout
- $1.44K
- Potential profit
- $1.07K
- Multiplier
- 3.85x
- User PnL
- -$100.5
Yes position
Will Hyperliquid reach $80 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 5%
- Current value
- $40.58
- Potential payout
- $811.64
- Potential profit
- $771.06
- Multiplier
- 20.00x
- User PnL
- -$469.95
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 4?
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $769.99
- Potential profit
- $769.99
- User PnL
- -$130.07
Yes position
Will Hyperliquid reach $84 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.5%
- Current value
- $10.62
- Potential payout
- $732.36
- Potential profit
- $721.74
- Multiplier
- 68.97x
- User PnL
- -$253.2
Yes position
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-24?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $600
- Potential profit
- $600
- User PnL
- -$96
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 4?
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $449.72
- Potential profit
- $449.72
- User PnL
- -$4.05
Yes position
Will Lighter reach $6 before 2027?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 10%
- Current value
- $18.68
- Potential payout
- $186.83
- Potential profit
- $168.14
- Multiplier
- 10.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.46
Yes position
Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Current value
- $12.33
- Potential payout
- $63.21
- Potential profit
- $50.88
- Multiplier
- 5.13x
- User PnL
- -$2.21
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 11?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $39.41
- Potential profit
- $39.41
- User PnL
- -$4.34
Yes position
Will Lighter reach $4 before 2027?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 17%
- Current value
- $4.08
- Potential payout
- $24
- Potential profit
- $19.92
- Multiplier
- 5.88x
- User PnL
- -$1.44
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on June 3?
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $984.1
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 on June 3?
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $440
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 on June 3?
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $365.49
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 on June 3?
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$118.79
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?Yes 23% 63.21 shares
- Will Qatar win on 2026-06-24?Yes 16% 600 shares
- Will Lighter reach $4 before 2027?Yes 23% 12 shares
- Will Lighter reach $3 before 2027?Yes 33% 60 shares
- Will Lighter reach $3 before 2027?Yes 33% 160 shares
- Will Lighter reach $4 before 2027?Yes 23% 12 shares
- Will Lighter reach $6 before 2027?Yes 11% 61 shares
- Will Lighter reach $3 before 2027?Yes 33% 20 shares
- Will Lighter reach $6 before 2027?Yes 10% 27 shares
- Will Lighter reach $3 before 2027?Yes 33% 1,170 shares
- Will Lighter reach $6 before 2027?Yes 9% 15 shares
- Will Lighter reach $3 before 2027?Yes 32% 30 shares