Up position
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 30.5%
- Current value
- $122
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $278
- Multiplier
- 3.28x
- User PnL
- $18
Polymarket Trader
dareel
0x4f4b10183c99101b33172a63fd02f47070ab3378
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $122
- Realized PnL
- $214.36
- Win rate
- 63.6%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 11
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Up position
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 4?
Ends Feb 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $300
- User PnL
- -$183
Down position
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 27?
Ends Jan 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $199.98
- Potential profit
- $199.98
- User PnL
- -$49.99
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Up position
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 13?
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $220
Up position
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 12?
Ends Jan 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $72
Up position
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 8?
Ends Jan 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $56.41
No position
Will House and Senate pass funding bill by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.06
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.46
No position
100% tariff on China in effect by November 1?
Ends Nov 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.74
Yes position
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.82
No position
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$3.55
No position
US x China tariff agreement by November 10?
Ends Nov 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$42.65
Up position
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on January 23?
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$101.92
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on January 23?Up 0.3% 299.99 shares
- S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on January 23?Up 34% 208 shares
- S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 12?Up 96% 101.01 shares
- S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 12?Up 24.8% 101.01 shares
- S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 8?Up 63.9% 156.41 shares
- Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes 56% 280.98 shares
- Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?Yes 99.9% 30.48 shares
- Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes 66.9% 149.4 shares
- Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes 76% 131.58 shares
- US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?No 51% 32.25 shares
- US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?No 62% 32.26 shares
- US x China tariff agreement by November 10?No 24% 20.83 shares