No position
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $152.11
- Potential payout
- $152.18
- Potential profit
- $0.08
- User PnL
- $2.11
Polymarket Trader
randdfjdm
0x4f4c72476c7bdf7aa0a5d13f470a6dda65a88330
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $357.36
- Realized PnL
- $15.49
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 15
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,400 by end of June? (copy)
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $122.03
- Potential payout
- $122.09
- Potential profit
- $0.06
- User PnL
- $2.03
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.7%
- Current value
- $47.33
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $2.67
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $2.33
No position
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $27.03
- Potential profit
- $27.03
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $10.06
- Potential payout
- $11.9
- Potential profit
- $1.85
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $0.06
Yes position
Will Claude Code Commits be at least 750.0k on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 54.5%
- Current value
- $5.99
- Potential payout
- $10.99
- Potential profit
- $5
- Multiplier
- 1.83x
- User PnL
- -$4.01
No position
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.9%
- Current value
- $9.78
- Potential payout
- $10.1
- Potential profit
- $0.32
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- -$0.22
No position
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $10.07
- Potential payout
- $10.07
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $0.07
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.49
Yes position
Will the Democratic candidate win the NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.19
No position
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.83
Yes position
Will Jeannette Jara win the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?
Ends Nov 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.51
No position
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.01
No position
Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.01
Yes position
Will Abigail Spanberger win the Virginia Governor Election in 2025
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.9
No position
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,600 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.71
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the most valuable company on October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.18
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.16
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.12
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.12
No position
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
Yes position
Will Google have the best AI model on October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Claude Code Commits be at least 750.0k on June 30?Yes 91% 10.99 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 84% 11.9 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 99.4% 10.06 shares
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,400 by end of June? (copy)No 98.3% 122.09 shares
- Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,600 in June?No 98.6% 30.43 shares
- Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,600 in June?No 98.6% 20.28 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 25?No 98.8% 10.12 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?No 99.1% 50.45 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?No 99.6% 40.16 shares
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in May?No 99% 101.01 shares
- Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 99% 10.1 shares
- Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 99.3% 10.07 shares