Polymarket Trader

angieua

0x4f4e76e9fbb342e5a59b00d71ca497feb253506b

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $5.44K
Realized PnL: $65.07
Win rate: 80%
Open positions: 13
Closed positions: 20
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.1%
Current value: $2.05K
Potential payout: $2.09K
Potential profit: $39.64
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $23.4

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $1.55K
Potential payout: $1.55K
Potential profit: $3.87
User PnL: $33.61

Yes position

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 81.5%
Current value: $644.53
Potential payout: $790.94
Potential profit: $146.4
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: $2.08

No position

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 96.8%
Current value: $308.62
Potential payout: $318.99
Potential profit: $10.37
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: -$1.38

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $265.76
Potential payout: $290.44
Potential profit: $24.69
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $15.11

Yes position

Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 88.9%
Current value: $146.15
Potential payout: $164.4
Potential profit: $18.25
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $31.33

Yes position

Starmer out by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $138.83
Potential payout: $162.38
Potential profit: $23.54
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: $0.81

Yes position

Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 62.5%
Current value: $94.36
Potential payout: $150.97
Potential profit: $56.61
Multiplier: 1.60x
User PnL: -$6.09

No position

Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $123.15
Potential payout: $123.33
Potential profit: $0.18
User PnL: $8.56

Yes position

Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 37.5%
Current value: $31.98
Potential payout: $85.27
Potential profit: $53.3
Multiplier: 2.67x
User PnL: -$0.68

Yes position

Starmer out by August 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93%
Current value: $43.96
Potential payout: $47.27
Potential profit: $3.31
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: -$0.47

No position

Iran leadership change by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.1%
Current value: $39.58
Potential payout: $39.96
Potential profit: $0.38
User PnL: $0.38

No position

Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.3%
Current value: $13.33
Potential payout: $13.57
Potential profit: $0.24
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $0.06

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Marjorie Taylor Greene by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.06

Yes position

Will Trump physically sign US x Iran deal?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.15

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.31

Yes position

Will the US-Iran deal be physically signed by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.94

No position

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.41

Yes position

Will Xavier Becerra advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.97

Yes position

Will the US-Iran deal be physically signed by June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.32

No position

Israel closes its airspace by June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.4

No position

Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.14

No position

Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.02

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.77

No position

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 94.8%
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $0.66

No position

Netanyahu out by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.3%
User PnL: $0.45

No position

Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
User PnL: $0.25

Yes position

Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.09

Yes position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.24

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 75.8%
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: -$1.4

Yes position

Will Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$2.13

No position

Will Tom Steyer advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$3.09

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 96.8% 185.95 shares
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

No 99.7% 201.8 shares
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 96.7% 10.34 shares
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?

No 98.4% 113.82 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

No 92% 163.04 shares
Starmer out by August 31, 2026?

Yes 94% 47.27 shares
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?

No 98.2% 27.77 shares
Starmer out by July 31, 2026?

Yes 85% 12.88 shares
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?

No 98.2% 1.18 shares
Starmer out by July 31, 2026?

Yes 85% 22.24 shares
Starmer out by July 31, 2026?

Yes 85% 127.26 shares
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?

No 98.2% 2.19 shares