No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $17K
- Potential profit
- $17K
- User PnL
- -$17
Polymarket Trader
AranegaJA
0x4f6180c59217fb7f2395fde27c57b57d6be02680
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $39.2
- Realized PnL
- $503.8
- Win rate
- 39.1%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 23
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.02K
- Potential profit
- $1.02K
- User PnL
- -$47.62
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 4%
- Current value
- $39.2
- Potential payout
- $979.92
- Potential profit
- $940.72
- Multiplier
- 25.00x
- User PnL
- -$192.35
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $37.7
- Potential profit
- $37.7
- User PnL
- -$4.9
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $874.46
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $426.37
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $127.86
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $123.87
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $76.63
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $28.91
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.08
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $15
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.02
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.75
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$13.28
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$24.8
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$25
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$33.04
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$47.89
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$48.38
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$63.76
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$65.24
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$83.52
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$89.22
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$287.49
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$408.04
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?Yes 24% 229.17 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?Yes 23.5% 750.75 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?Yes 10.6% 439.78 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?Yes 29.6% 439.78 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?Yes 64.7% 1,776.98 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?Yes 15.5% 1,776.98 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?Yes 14.6% 2,040.76 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?Yes 16.3% 2,040.77 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?Yes 27% 1,327.14 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?Yes 28% 1,327.14 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?Yes 99.9% 388.05 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?Yes 68% 388.06 shares