Polymarket Trader

0x4f647e36248313617245C1BdE770985aED26037f-1772012732591

0x4f647e36248313617245c1bde770985aed26037f

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $92.78
Realized PnL: $398.25
Win rate: 95.8%
Open positions: 5
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $98.23
Potential profit: $98.23
User PnL: -$12.77

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $92.71
Potential payout: $92.76
Potential profit: $0.05
User PnL: $18.6

Yes position

Will Antonio Villaraigosa finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election in San Francisco City and County?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.03
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.97
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$0.37

Yes position

Will Steve Hilton finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election in San Francisco City and County?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.03
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.97
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$1.17

Yes position

Will Chad Bianco finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election in San Francisco City and County?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.99
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.23

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $112.54

Yes position

Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $91

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $86.42

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35

No position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.18

No position

Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.36

No position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.99

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.25

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 22?

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.99

No position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.2

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on March 23?

Ends Mar 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.11

No position

Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.68

No position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on March 22?

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.13

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 23?

Ends Mar 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.44

No position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.43

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 25?

Ends Mar 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.38

No position

Will Ethereum dip to $1,850 on March 25?

Ends Mar 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.3

No position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.23

InterActive Philippines position

Dota 2: InterActive Philippines vs Cloud Dawning (BO3) - EPL World Series Southeast Asia Playoffs

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.2

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.15

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on March 22?

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.1

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 22?

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.1

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 2?

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.09

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 7?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.01

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 79.9% 92.76 shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 13% 98.23 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET

Down 71% 5.09 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET

Up 51% 224.96 shares
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

No 95.7% 10.02 shares
Will Safepoint's market cap be at least $1.7B at market close on IPO day?

Yes 0.7% 19.96 shares
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Yes 88.3% 149.91 shares
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Yes 87.7% 118.74 shares
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

No 94.9% 235 shares
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

No 91.9% 226.63 shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $20 in May?

No 99.8% 209.72 shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $20 in May?

No 99.9% 209.72 shares