Polymarket Trader

0x4F6950875b44741F201D3319C9780cE5E18050a5-1781020571411

0x4f6950875b44741f201d3319c9780ce5e18050a5

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $407.64
Realized PnL: $662.99
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 18
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 27.5%
Current value: $352.61
Potential payout: $1.28K
Potential profit: $929.6
Multiplier: 3.64x
User PnL: -$147.39

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $4.87
Potential payout: $1.08K
Potential profit: $1.08K
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$5.96

Yes position

Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by June 30?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $50.16
Potential payout: $668.83
Potential profit: $618.67
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$176.84

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on June 13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $548.82
Potential profit: $548.82
User PnL: -$30

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $408.98
Potential profit: $408.98
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on June 13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $311.14
Potential profit: $311.14
User PnL: -$10

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $299.78
Potential profit: $299.78
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on June 13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $79.21
Potential profit: $79.21
User PnL: -$10

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $45.45
Potential profit: $45.45
User PnL: -$5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.61
Potential profit: $19.61
User PnL: -$10

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.23
Potential profit: $19.23
User PnL: -$10

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17.24
Potential profit: $17.24
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.8
Potential profit: $14.8
User PnL: -$4

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.36
Potential profit: $11.36
User PnL: -$5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.36
Potential profit: $11.36
User PnL: -$5.45

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.65
Potential profit: $10.65
User PnL: -$6

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 99.4%
User PnL: $235.1

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $206.42

Yes position

Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $77.19

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 97.5%
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $58.35

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.08

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.32

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6PM ET

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $9.16

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $7.02

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.22

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.19

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.69

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.09

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.88

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.86

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.71

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.52

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.49

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.06

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.05

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.94

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.83

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.72

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.58

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.54

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Trump physically sign US x Iran deal?

No 9.4% 3,606.21 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET

Down 40.5% 224.3 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET

Down 44.6% 224.3 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET

Up 55% 205.15 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET

Up 48.7% 205.15 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6PM ET

Down 21.8% 501.72 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6PM ET

Down 19.9% 501.73 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET

Up 39% 26.31 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET

Up 38% 26.32 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET

Down 64% 1.56 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET

Down 64% 1.56 shares
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?

No 16.5% 2,127.37 shares