Polymarket Trader

FortuneBloom

0x4f69f2098b1e9b601a4102560c159119c354f07e

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $68.15
Realized PnL: $3.5K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?

Ends Sep 16, 2026

Implied probability: 4.1%
Current value: $40.5
Potential payout: $999.98
Potential profit: $959.48
Multiplier: 24.69x
User PnL: $1.56

Yes position

Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from July 7 to July 14, 2026?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $800
Potential profit: $800
User PnL: -$3.1

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$80.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on June 16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $150
User PnL: -$3.5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $0.55
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $99.45
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$0.25

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$0.8

Yes position

Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 1.6%
Current value: $1.55
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $98.45
Multiplier: 64.52x
User PnL: -$0.35

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?

Ends Oct 28, 2026

Implied probability: 9%
Current value: $9
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $91
Multiplier: 11.11x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?

Ends Jul 21, 2026

Implied probability: 1.9%
Current value: $1.85
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $98.15
Multiplier: 54.05x
User PnL: $0.85

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?

Ends Jul 21, 2026

Implied probability: 6.7%
Current value: $6.7
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $93.3
Multiplier: 14.93x
User PnL: $2.6

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$1.55

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 6.3%
Current value: $6.25
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $93.75
Multiplier: 16.00x
User PnL: $3.25

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?

Ends Jul 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $0.55
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $99.45
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: $0.15

Yes position

Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.15
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $99.85
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$0.05

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 32°C or higher on June 16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$1.3

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?

Ends Jul 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $0.85
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $99.15
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: $0.25

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$1.55

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.15
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $99.85
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$0.15

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.05
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $99.95
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.45

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on June 17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $99.99
Potential profit: $99.99
User PnL: -$0.2

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

China wins the most gold medals in 2024 Paris Olympics?

Ends Aug 11, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $493.55

Yes position

Trump posts 20-29 times on X?

Ends Aug 23, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $432.5

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 58.2%
Multiplier: 1.72x
User PnL: $208.19

Yes position

Will Kamala lead in RCP by 1.5-1.9 September 13?

Ends Sep 13, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $178

Yes position

Will Kamala lead by 1.6-2.0 or more points on September 20?

Ends Sep 20, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $164

Yes position

Will Kamala lead in RCP by 1.5-1.9 September 6?

Ends Sep 6, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $155

Yes position

Will Trump tweet 20-24 times September 20-27?

Ends Sep 27, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $146.79

Yes position

Will Trump tweet 10-19 times this week?

Ends Sep 13, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $146

Yes position

Will Trump tweet 80-89 times Nov 1-8?

Ends Nov 8, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $142.99

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 225-249 times?

Ends Sep 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $141

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 400-424 times Dec 27-Jan 3?

Ends Jan 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $98.79

Yes position

Will Trump tweet 20-29 times Nov 8-15?

Ends Nov 15, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $98

Yes position

Will Fulham win on 2024-12-26?

Ends Dec 26, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $98

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 375-399 times November 8-15?

Ends Nov 15, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $98

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 475-499 times Nov 22-29?

Ends Nov 29, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $96

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 400-424 times Dec 13-20?

Ends Dec 20, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $95

Yes position

Will Kamala lead in RCP by 0-0.4 on Oct 25?

Ends Oct 25, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $95

Yes position

Trump posts 30-34 times on X?

Ends Sep 6, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $94.99

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 400 or more times Oct 25 - Nov 1?

Ends Nov 1, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $93

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 450 or more times November 15-22?

Ends Nov 22, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $92

Yes position

Will Trump lead in RCP by 0.1-0.4 on Nov 4?

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $90.01

Yes position

Will Newcastle beat Wolverhampton?

Ends Sep 15, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $87.51

Yes position

Will Aryna Sabalenka win the US Open?

Ends Sep 7, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $76.98

Yes position

Will Kamala lead by 1.5-1.9 August 30?

Ends Aug 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $75.04

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 36% 200 shares
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 58.1% 499.97 shares
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?

Yes 3.7% 140 shares
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Yes 64% 50 shares
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on June 16?

Yes 1% 100 shares
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 16.2% 199.99 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 16.1% 400 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 16.1% 100 shares
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 16% 100 shares
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 17% 49.99 shares
Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 22% 50 shares
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 17% 49.99 shares