Polymarket Trader

msantos1968

0x4f7041dd86eb10e0ddf0c724849ef4bef7ce0ca9

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $18.7K
Realized PnL: $8.71K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by May 24?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $56.66K
Potential profit: $56.66K
User PnL: -$320.97

Yes position

Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 63.5%
Current value: $5.1K
Potential payout: $8.03K
Potential profit: $2.93K
Multiplier: 1.57x
User PnL: -$32.93

Yes position

Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 57.5%
Current value: $4.27K
Potential payout: $7.42K
Potential profit: $3.15K
Multiplier: 1.74x
User PnL: -$9.92

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.9%
Current value: $225
Potential payout: $3.85K
Potential profit: $3.62K
Multiplier: 17.09x
User PnL: $25

Alexander Zverev position

Halle Open: Alexander Zverev vs Taylor Fritz

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 56.5%
Current value: $1.95K
Potential payout: $3.45K
Potential profit: $1.5K
Multiplier: 1.77x
User PnL: -$52.07

Yes position

Will United States win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 39.5%
Current value: $1.24K
Potential payout: $3.13K
Potential profit: $1.89K
Multiplier: 2.53x
User PnL: $22.71

Yes position

Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 76.5%
Current value: $2.04K
Potential payout: $2.67K
Potential profit: $626.67
Multiplier: 1.31x
User PnL: $40

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 80.3%
Current value: $1.63K
Potential payout: $2.03K
Potential profit: $401.17
Multiplier: 1.25x
User PnL: $630.09

Matteo Berrettini position

Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Berrettini vs Matteo Arnaldi

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.75K
Potential profit: $1.75K
User PnL: -$1.1K

Yes position

Will Rafael Jodar win the 2026 Men's French Open?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.57K
Potential profit: $1.57K
User PnL: -$190.87

Yes position

Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 63.5%
Current value: $976.92
Potential payout: $1.54K
Potential profit: $561.54
Multiplier: 1.57x
User PnL: -$23.08

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.7%
Current value: $163.47
Potential payout: $1.2K
Potential profit: $1.03K
Multiplier: 7.33x
User PnL: -$36.53

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $215.79
Potential payout: $1.17K
Potential profit: $953.8
Multiplier: 5.42x
User PnL: $15.79

No position

Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 2-8?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.16K
Potential profit: $1.16K
User PnL: -$600

Yes position

Will Ghana vs. Panama end in a draw?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.03K
Potential profit: $1.03K
User PnL: -$845.07

Yes position

Will Romeu Zema finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $110.86
Potential payout: $964
Potential profit: $853.14
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: -$289.14

Yes position

Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $952.38
Potential profit: $952.38
User PnL: -$200

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-06-26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 55.5%
Current value: $501.87
Potential payout: $904.28
Potential profit: $402.4
Multiplier: 1.80x
User PnL: $13.57

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 24.5%
Current value: $188.49
Potential payout: $769.33
Potential profit: $580.84
Multiplier: 4.08x
User PnL: -$211.51

Rafael Jodar position

Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Alexander Zverev

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $740.74
Potential profit: $740.74
User PnL: -$200

Yes position

Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $5.56
Potential payout: $695.57
Potential profit: $690.01
Multiplier: 125.00x
User PnL: -$43.12

No position

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 16.4%
Current value: $93.74
Potential payout: $573.31
Potential profit: $479.58
Multiplier: 6.12x
User PnL: -$106.26

Yes position

Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $499.41
Potential profit: $499.41
User PnL: -$339.6

Yes position

Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $222.22
Potential profit: $222.22
User PnL: -$40

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.06K

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $733.25

No position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $671.86

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 8?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $541.18

No position

Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $485.29

Joao Fonseca position

Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonseca

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $448.62

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $446.11

Alexander Zverev position

Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $392.14

No position

US forces enter Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $391.15

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 58.4%
Multiplier: 1.71x
User PnL: $351.45

No position

Iran closes its airspace by May 8?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $333.33

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 June 8-14?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $324.73

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $310.67

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $309.47

Yes position

Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $299.56

No position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $264.44

Yes position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $249.25

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $214.29

Flavio Cobolli position

Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Flavio Cobolli

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $179.71

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $163.35

Yes position

Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $140.93

No position

Iran closes its airspace by May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $136.36

No position

US forces enter Iran by March 14?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $132.91

Jakub Mensik position

Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonseca

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $126.32

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?

Yes 58% 1,724.14 shares
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?

Yes 64% 1,562.5 shares
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?

Yes 38.1% 2,395.55 shares
Will United States win on 2026-06-19?

Yes 63% 1,587.3 shares
Halle Open: Alexander Zverev vs Taylor Fritz

Alexander Zverev 58% 3,448.28 shares
Will United States win on 2026-06-19?

Yes 61% 3,278.69 shares
Halle Open: Alexander Zverev vs Raphael Collignon

Alexander Zverev 83% 5,988.96 shares
Will Canada win on 2026-06-18?

Yes 82% 353.26 shares
Will Canada win on 2026-06-18?

Yes 77% 1,298.7 shares
Halle Open: Raphael Collignon vs Mattia Bellucci

Raphael Collignon 58% 862.07 shares
Will United States win on 2026-06-19?

Yes 61% 3,278.69 shares
Halle Open: Alexander Zverev vs Yannick Hanfmann

Alexander Zverev 86% 2,326.87 shares