Yes position
GPT-5.6 released by June 23, 2026?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.6%
- Current value
- $8.58
- Potential payout
- $154.62
- Potential profit
- $146.04
- Multiplier
- 18.02x
- User PnL
- -$22.34
Polymarket Trader
latent2142
0x4f767ec377f29d6b2f48c93f81b702300d7db5a1
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $8.71
- Realized PnL
- $289.67
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.2%
- Current value
- $0.13
- Potential payout
- $3
- Potential profit
- $2.87
- Multiplier
- 23.81x
- User PnL
- -$1.43
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $39
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $35.7
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.43
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.57
Yes position
Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $24
Yes position
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 56.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- $20.18
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14
Yes position
Will MrBeast hit 494 million subscribers by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.82
Yes position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $8.77
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.2%
- Multiplier
- 83.33x
- User PnL
- $8.64
No position
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.08
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- User PnL
- $6.9
Yes position
Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 23, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.88
No position
Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $6.4
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.33
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.17
Yes position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.07
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.88
No position
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.91
Yes position
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.75
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by May 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.62
Yes position
DeepSeek V4 released by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.15
Yes position
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.76
No position
Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.66
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- GPT-5.6 released by June 23, 2026?Yes 20% 54.62 shares
- Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 5.5% 18.28 shares
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?Yes 64% 101.46 shares
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 6% 50.52 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?Yes 96.9% 211.21 shares
- Will Polymarket mindshare hit 85% by June 30?Yes 41% 45.3 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes 0.3% 15,000 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes 0.1% 9,364.72 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes 0.1% 4,374.81 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes 0.1% 1,041.62 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes 58.7% 355.87 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes 71.8% 505.58 shares